Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul em 9 de junho?
25°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$264,495 Vol.
$264,495 Vol.
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$264,495 Vol.
$264,495 Vol.
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on June 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. This consensus reflects current observational data showing temperatures building to that level without exceeding it, consistent with early-June climatology where Seoul highs typically average near 25–28°C before monsoon influences intensify. Model runs show minimal spread, with no significant steering patterns or moisture intrusions expected to push readings higher. A sudden increase in cloud cover or localized showers before peak heating could cap the maximum below 25°C, while any delay in official station reporting might introduce minor uncertainty until the daily high is finalized.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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