Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 16?
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 Vol.
$84,497 Vol.
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C ou mais
Não
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,497 Vol.
$84,497 Vol.
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Tokyo's mid-June climatology and current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency support a daily maximum near 26 °C, with moderate humidity, variable cloud cover, and light winds limiting further warming. Ensemble guidance shows stable conditions without strong southerly advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push temperatures higher. Traders have priced this outcome at certainty because observed trends and short-range model consensus align closely with the historical 26 °C average high. Only a rapid shift to intense solar heating under clearer skies or an unforecast warm-air surge could realistically exceed that threshold before the daily peak is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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