JD Vance remains the sitting vice president with no announced resignation, removal proceedings, or replacement under the 25th Amendment as of early August 2026. Trader consensus assigns low probability to an exit by year-end, reflecting the absence of recent official statements, health disclosures, or administration actions signaling change. Staff departures within the vice presidential office and comments on prior resignations by other officials have not extended to Vance himself. The 2026 midterm elections and subsequent congressional dynamics could influence administration stability, though no scheduled events or procedural triggers currently point to a shift before December 31. Market pricing captures this limited near-term uncertainty based on verifiable developments.