The market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the Supreme Leader's official X accounts, which have historically issued statements sparingly and primarily through state media, websites, or occasional high-profile messages rather than frequent social media activity. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei's August 2026 appointments to senior military and security roles amid ongoing reorganization of armed forces structures, show emphasis on internal governance over digital output. The accounts tied to the office maintain low volume even during periods of regional tension. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic or military escalation prompting multiple official responses within the resolution window, or a shift toward more direct social media engagement by the leadership.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 11 a 18 de agosto de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 11 a 18 de agosto de 2026?
<5 97.3%
5-9 3.0%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,653 Vol.
$16,653 Vol.
18 ago 2026
<5
97%
5-9
3%
10-14
1%
15-19
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
<1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 97.3%
5-9 3.0%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$16,653 Vol.
$16,653 Vol.
18 ago 2026
<5
$5,179 Vol.
97%
5-9
$2,833 Vol.
3%
10-14
$1,282 Vol.
1%
15-19
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$991 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$1,465 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$1,383 Vol.
<1%
35-39
$440 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$321 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$358 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$406 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$406 Vol.
<1%
60+
$551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the Supreme Leader's official X accounts, which have historically issued statements sparingly and primarily through state media, websites, or occasional high-profile messages rather than frequent social media activity. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei's August 2026 appointments to senior military and security roles amid ongoing reorganization of armed forces structures, show emphasis on internal governance over digital output. The accounts tied to the office maintain low volume even during periods of regional tension. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic or military escalation prompting multiple official responses within the resolution window, or a shift toward more direct social media engagement by the leadership.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$16,653Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the Supreme Leader's official X accounts, which have historically issued statements sparingly and primarily through state media, websites, or occasional high-profile messages rather than frequent social media activity. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei's August 2026 appointments to senior military and security roles amid ongoing reorganization of armed forces structures, show emphasis on internal governance over digital output. The accounts tied to the office maintain low volume even during periods of regional tension. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic or military escalation prompting multiple official responses within the resolution window, or a shift toward more direct social media engagement by the leadership.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$16,653Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 97.3% consensus on fewer than five posts reflects traders' assessment of the Supreme Leader's official X accounts, which have historically issued statements sparingly and primarily through state media, websites, or occasional high-profile messages rather than frequent social media activity. Recent developments, including Mojtaba Khamenei's August 2026 appointments to senior military and security roles amid ongoing reorganization of armed forces structures, show emphasis on internal governance over digital output. The accounts tied to the office maintain low volume even during periods of regional tension. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic or military escalation prompting multiple official responses within the resolution window, or a shift toward more direct social media engagement by the leadership.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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