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LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

Michael Echols 9.2%

Misti Cordell 4.0%

Blake Miguez 2.6%

Michael Mebruer 1.7%

Polymarket

$63,560 Vol.

Michael Echols 9.2%

Misti Cordell 4.0%

Blake Miguez 2.6%

Michael Mebruer 1.7%

Polymarket

$63,560 Vol.

Michael Echols

$14,633 Vol.

9%

Misti Cordell

$1,906 Vol.

4%

Blake Miguez

$31,535 Vol.

3%

Michael Mebruer

$1,323 Vol.

2%

Samuel Wyatt

$6,114 Vol.

2%

Rick Edmonds

$5,960 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$2,089 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open 5th Congressional District race in Louisiana features a fragmented Republican field ahead of the November 3 jungle primary, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities. Redistricting earlier this year canceled the original May Republican primary, forced requalification, and introduced new dynamics in a safely Republican seat vacated by Julia Letlow. Leading contenders differentiate on fundraising totals, with Michael Echols reporting over $1.3 million cash on hand from personal loans and donors; geographic bases, as Echols and Misti Cordell draw from the Monroe area while others like Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds represent districts outside core boundaries; and endorsements, including Cordell's recent Louisiana Republican Party backing alongside Miguez's prior Trump support. Consolidation could occur through additional high-profile endorsements, debate performances, or early polling shifts that narrow the field before the top-two advancement to a December runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$63,560
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The open 5th Congressional District race in Louisiana features a fragmented Republican field ahead of the November 3 jungle primary, with no candidate exceeding single-digit implied probabilities. Redistricting earlier this year canceled the original May Republican primary, forced requalification, and introduced new dynamics in a safely Republican seat vacated by Julia Letlow. Leading contenders differentiate on fundraising totals, with Michael Echols reporting over $1.3 million cash on hand from personal loans and donors; geographic bases, as Echols and Misti Cordell draw from the Monroe area while others like Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds represent districts outside core boundaries; and endorsements, including Cordell's recent Louisiana Republican Party backing alongside Miguez's prior Trump support. Consolidation could occur through additional high-profile endorsements, debate performances, or early polling shifts that narrow the field before the top-two advancement to a December runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$63,560
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Echols" at 9%, followed by "Misti Cordell" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $63.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Michael Echols" at just 9%, with "Misti Cordell" close behind at 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.