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Política·Primária Da Louisiana

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

icon for LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana
Política·Primária Da Louisiana

LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana

Blake Miguez 9%

Michael Echols 1.8%

Austin Magee 1.8%

Rick Edmonds 1.5%

Polymarket

$43,178 Vol.

Blake Miguez 9%

Michael Echols 1.8%

Austin Magee 1.8%

Rick Edmonds 1.5%

Polymarket

$43,178 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$21,804 Vol.

9%

Michael Echols

$10,616 Vol.

2%

Austin Magee

$1,285 Vol.

2%

Rick Edmonds

$1,281 Vol.

2%

Misti Cordell

$991 Vol.

1%

Michael Mebruer

$1,235 Vol.

1%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,966 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Louisiana's 5th congressional district Republican contest remains fragmented following the cancellation of the May partisan primary due to a Supreme Court ruling on the state's House map. The race now proceeds via an open primary on November 3 with a potential December runoff. State Sen. Blake Miguez holds the largest cash-on-hand advantage and an early polling edge among the seven-candidate field, while state Rep. Michael Echols and state Sen. Rick Edmonds maintain stronger geographic ties inside current district lines. Other contenders including Misti Cordell, Austin Magee, and lower-profile candidates have yet to consolidate support. Traders price the outcome as highly uncertain given the compressed timeline, candidate dispersion, and absence of a dominant frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$43,178
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Louisiana's 5th congressional district Republican contest remains fragmented following the cancellation of the May partisan primary due to a Supreme Court ruling on the state's House map. The race now proceeds via an open primary on November 3 with a potential December runoff. State Sen. Blake Miguez holds the largest cash-on-hand advantage and an early polling edge among the seven-candidate field, while state Rep. Michael Echols and state Sen. Rick Edmonds maintain stronger geographic ties inside current district lines. Other contenders including Misti Cordell, Austin Magee, and lower-profile candidates have yet to consolidate support. Traders price the outcome as highly uncertain given the compressed timeline, candidate dispersion, and absence of a dominant frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$43,178
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Blake Miguez" at 9%, followed by "Michael Echols" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" has generated $43.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" is "Blake Miguez" at just 9%, with "Michael Echols" close behind at 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "LA-05 Vencedor da primária republicana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.