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Gerrymander previsões e probabilidades

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Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

98%

Pass 3-6%

$532K Vol.

$77.6K Liq.

63

Ends há 8 dias

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

68%

$8.0K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

33%

Below 190

$211K Vol.

$65.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 4

$100K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

10

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

21%

125-130m

$6.6K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$74.8K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

8

Ends em 6 meses

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$1.3K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

16%

Democrats 8-10%

$31.3K Vol.

$42.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

49%

Democrats Sweep

$6M Vol.

$72.2K today

$468K Liq.

152

Ends em 6 meses

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$898 Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

69%

$38.9K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$133K Liq.

6

IN-03 House Election Winner

IN-03 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.0K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

90%

Republican Party

$6.1K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

24–25

$665K Vol.

$69.7K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$15.9K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

80%

Democratic Party

$300 Vol.

$996 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

CO-03 House Election Winner

CO-03 House Election Winner

56%

Republican Party

$842 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gerrymander.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Gerrymander that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to Democrats Sweep. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gerrymander predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.