Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the MI-11 race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Oakland County and his August primary victory to succeed retiring Rep. Haley Stevens. Forecasters rate the open seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns that have delivered double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democratic candidates typically prevail. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MI-11
Vencedor da eleição da casa MI-11
$79,162 Vol.
$79,162 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
$79,162 Vol.
$79,162 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
$56,609 Vol.
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
$22,552 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the MI-11 race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Oakland County and his August primary victory to succeed retiring Rep. Haley Stevens. Forecasters rate the open seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns that have delivered double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democratic candidates typically prevail. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$79,162Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the MI-11 race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Oakland County and his August primary victory to succeed retiring Rep. Haley Stevens. Forecasters rate the open seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns that have delivered double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democratic candidates typically prevail. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$79,162Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in the MI-11 race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in Oakland County and his August primary victory to succeed retiring Rep. Haley Stevens. Forecasters rate the open seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns that have delivered double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles. Ethan Baker, the unopposed Republican nominee and Troy mayor, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democratic candidates typically prevail. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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