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Política·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 51.0%

Marco Rubio 18.3%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,751,553 Vol.

J.D. Vance 51.0%

Marco Rubio 18.3%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,751,553 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$15,615,486 Vol.

51%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,598,713 Vol.

18%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$13,776,586 Vol.

4%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$15,509,181 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$9,544,119 Vol.

2%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$19,356,419 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$9,651,607 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,559,624 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$6,098,784 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$13,951,585 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$9,352,621 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$8,717,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$17,935,763 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$20,265,088 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6,764,545 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$16,107,311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,828,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$44,417,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$28,949,218 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,539,591 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$22,921,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$661,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$10,571,729 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$10,383,474 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$20,713,190 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$27,988,933 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$37,622,991 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$43,688,711 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$32,957,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$28,562,597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$8,927,449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,571,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$432,440 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$34,430,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$30,418,525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$20,390,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$38,164,787 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$18,944,699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$523,415 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$865,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$721,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$750,557 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, closely trailed by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., with the race remaining tight amid uncertainty over President Trump's eventual endorsement and post-midterm positioning. Vance benefits from his role as the sitting vice president and visibility in administration events, including recent convention appearances that reinforce his status among core Republican voters. Kennedy Jr.'s near-parity reflects ongoing interest in his cabinet role and potential to consolidate distinct voter blocs within the party. Lower-priced contenders such as Marco Rubio draw support as experienced alternatives but trail significantly. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 midterm results, any signals from the White House on succession, and early primary-state activity that could widen or narrow the gap between the top two.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$703,751,553
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Vice President J.D. Vance holds a slim lead in trader consensus for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, closely trailed by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., with the race remaining tight amid uncertainty over President Trump's eventual endorsement and post-midterm positioning. Vance benefits from his role as the sitting vice president and visibility in administration events, including recent convention appearances that reinforce his status among core Republican voters. Kennedy Jr.'s near-parity reflects ongoing interest in his cabinet role and potential to consolidate distinct voter blocs within the party. Lower-priced contenders such as Marco Rubio draw support as experienced alternatives but trail significantly. Key upcoming catalysts include 2026 midterm results, any signals from the White House on succession, and early primary-state activity that could widen or narrow the gap between the top two.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$703,751,553
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 42+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 51%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $703.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 42+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.