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icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 50.6%

Marco Rubio 18.6%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,533,394 Vol.

J.D. Vance 50.6%

Marco Rubio 18.6%

Tucker Carlson 3.5%

Ron DeSantis 2.4%

Polymarket

$703,533,394 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$15,607,695 Vol.

51%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$10,597,175 Vol.

19%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$13,776,579 Vol.

4%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$15,509,081 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$9,544,109 Vol.

2%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$19,356,411 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$9,651,411 Vol.

2%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,559,624 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$6,098,780 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$13,951,584 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$9,352,618 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$8,717,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$17,935,743 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$20,265,079 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$6,764,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$16,107,234 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$16,828,252 Vol.

<1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$44,417,458 Vol.

<1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$28,949,216 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,539,589 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$22,921,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$661,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$10,383,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$20,713,182 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$27,988,931 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$37,619,261 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$43,688,647 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$32,957,669 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$28,562,590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$10,367,343 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$8,927,441 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,571,288 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$432,338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$34,430,303 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$30,418,525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$20,390,102 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$38,164,787 Vol.

<1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$18,944,699 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$523,415 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$865,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$721,533 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$750,557 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight contest between J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination reflects trader consensus on a divided field where early positioning hinges on endorsements, polling averages in key states, and coalition dynamics after the prior cycle. Vance benefits from institutional ties and vice-presidential visibility, while Kennedy draws support from crossover voters and policy differentiation on issues like health and foreign affairs. Marco Rubio and others trail significantly, underscoring barriers to building primary momentum without broad party or donor alignment. Midterm election outcomes, formal candidate entries, debate performances, and any shifts in swing-state surveys could widen gaps by testing turnout models and electoral math in battlegrounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$703,533,394
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight contest between J.D. Vance and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination reflects trader consensus on a divided field where early positioning hinges on endorsements, polling averages in key states, and coalition dynamics after the prior cycle. Vance benefits from institutional ties and vice-presidential visibility, while Kennedy draws support from crossover voters and policy differentiation on issues like health and foreign affairs. Marco Rubio and others trail significantly, underscoring barriers to building primary momentum without broad party or donor alignment. Midterm election outcomes, formal candidate entries, debate performances, and any shifts in swing-state surveys could widen gaps by testing turnout models and electoral math in battlegrounds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$703,533,394
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 42+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 51%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" has generated $703.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028," browse the 42+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.