Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state legislator and former Paralympic athlete. Primaries concluded June 2, 2026, with Hinson securing a decisive Republican victory and Turek prevailing in a competitive Democratic contest. Iowa's partisan lean, including recent presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the modest edge in trader pricing for Hinson. Recent polling has shown the race tightening at times, drawing national attention and outside spending, while Turek's biography and focus on economic and health care issues position Democrats to contest the outcome in this battleground environment. Upcoming campaign developments through November could further influence positioning ahead of Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
$164,303 Vol.
$164,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
56%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$164,303 Vol.
$164,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$79,836 Vol.
56%
Josh Turek (D)
$84,467 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state legislator and former Paralympic athlete. Primaries concluded June 2, 2026, with Hinson securing a decisive Republican victory and Turek prevailing in a competitive Democratic contest. Iowa's partisan lean, including recent presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the modest edge in trader pricing for Hinson. Recent polling has shown the race tightening at times, drawing national attention and outside spending, while Turek's biography and focus on economic and health care issues position Democrats to contest the outcome in this battleground environment. Upcoming campaign developments through November could further influence positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$164,303Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state legislator and former Paralympic athlete. Primaries concluded June 2, 2026, with Hinson securing a decisive Republican victory and Turek prevailing in a competitive Democratic contest. Iowa's partisan lean, including recent presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the modest edge in trader pricing for Hinson. Recent polling has shown the race tightening at times, drawing national attention and outside spending, while Turek's biography and focus on economic and health care issues position Democrats to contest the outcome in this battleground environment. Upcoming campaign developments through November could further influence positioning ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$164,303Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative, against Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state legislator and former Paralympic athlete. Primaries concluded June 2, 2026, with Hinson securing a decisive Republican victory and Turek prevailing in a competitive Democratic contest. Iowa's partisan lean, including recent presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins the modest edge in trader pricing for Hinson. Recent polling has shown the race tightening at times, drawing national attention and outside spending, while Turek's biography and focus on economic and health care issues position Democrats to contest the outcome in this battleground environment. Upcoming campaign developments through November could further influence positioning ahead of Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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