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icon for Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
Eleições·Iowa Midterm

Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa

icon for Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
Eleições·Iowa Midterm

Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa

Polymarket

$318,793 Vol.

Polymarket

$318,793 Vol.

icon for Ashley Hinson (R)

Ashley Hinson (R)

$162,529 Vol.

57%

icon for Josh Turek (D)

Josh Turek (D)

$156,264 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s Republican lean and her substantial fundraising lead, with roughly twice the cash on hand as Democrat Josh Turek through mid-2026. Primaries in June produced these nominees after Sen. Joni Ernst retired, setting up a contest rated toss-up or lean Republican by most forecasters. Mixed September polling shows narrow leads for either candidate, while Hinson has secured broad sheriff endorsements and Turek has highlighted bipartisan support and criticism of corporate influence. An October 7 Iowa PBS debate and ongoing attacks over legislative records and immigration enforcement remain key variables before the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$318,793
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Hinson holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat due to the state’s Republican lean and her substantial fundraising lead, with roughly twice the cash on hand as Democrat Josh Turek through mid-2026. Primaries in June produced these nominees after Sen. Joni Ernst retired, setting up a contest rated toss-up or lean Republican by most forecasters. Mixed September polling shows narrow leads for either candidate, while Hinson has secured broad sheriff endorsements and Turek has highlighted bipartisan support and criticism of corporate influence. An October 7 Iowa PBS debate and ongoing attacks over legislative records and immigration enforcement remain key variables before the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$318,793
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ashley Hinson (R)" at 57%, followed by "Josh Turek (D)" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa" has generated $318.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa" is "Ashley Hinson (R)" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Turek (D)" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.