Donavan McKinney leads trader consensus in Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary at 84.5% implied probability, ahead of incumbent Shri Thanedar at 15.5%, with the remaining candidates at negligible levels. The race narrowed to a head-to-head contest after disqualifications removed other filers ahead of the August 4 primary in this heavily Democratic Detroit-area seat. McKinney, a state representative emphasizing local representation and union ties, has built momentum through grassroots efforts and voter familiarity, outweighing Thanedar's self-funding advantage and slight edge in a recent Data for Progress poll. Traders appear to price in McKinney's structural positioning and late-campaign dynamics as decisive factors over the incumbent's record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoDonavan McKinney 85%
Shri Thanedar 16%
Shelby Campbell <1%
Anthony Carbonaro <1%
$298,909 Vol.
$298,909 Vol.

Donavan McKinney
85%

Shri Thanedar
16%

Shelby Campbell
<1%

Anthony Carbonaro
<1%

Nazmul Hassan
<1%
Donavan McKinney 85%
Shri Thanedar 16%
Shelby Campbell <1%
Anthony Carbonaro <1%
$298,909 Vol.
$298,909 Vol.

Donavan McKinney
85%

Shri Thanedar
16%

Shelby Campbell
<1%

Anthony Carbonaro
<1%

Nazmul Hassan
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney leads trader consensus in Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary at 84.5% implied probability, ahead of incumbent Shri Thanedar at 15.5%, with the remaining candidates at negligible levels. The race narrowed to a head-to-head contest after disqualifications removed other filers ahead of the August 4 primary in this heavily Democratic Detroit-area seat. McKinney, a state representative emphasizing local representation and union ties, has built momentum through grassroots efforts and voter familiarity, outweighing Thanedar's self-funding advantage and slight edge in a recent Data for Progress poll. Traders appear to price in McKinney's structural positioning and late-campaign dynamics as decisive factors over the incumbent's record.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions