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Política·Michigan

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

icon for Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13
Política·Michigan

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

Shri Thanedar 52%

Donavan McKinney 39%

Shelby Campbell 4.3%

Nazmul Hassan 2.5%

Polymarket

$22,745 Vol.

Shri Thanedar 52%

Donavan McKinney 39%

Shelby Campbell 4.3%

Nazmul Hassan 2.5%

Polymarket

$22,745 Vol.

Shri Thanedar

$1,180 Vol.

52%

Donavan McKinney

$20,322 Vol.

39%

Shelby Campbell

$442 Vol.

4%

Nazmul Hassan

$388 Vol.

2%

Anthony Carbonaro

$413 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar's commanding cash-on-hand advantage—over $5 million as of late March—anchors trader consensus at 51.5% for the August 4 Michigan 13th District Democratic primary, bolstering his incumbency edge in the solidly Democratic (D+22 PVI) Detroit-area seat. State Rep. Donavan McKinney, at 38.5%, has gained traction via progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, unions, and most recently Indivisible groups on May 1, fueling momentum among the district's majority-Black voters critical of Thanedar's representation. Absent polls, the closely contested market reflects fundraising dominance versus grassroots energy, with minor candidates like Shelby Campbell trailing far behind. Key watch: summer campaign spending and turnout in this open primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,745
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar's commanding cash-on-hand advantage—over $5 million as of late March—anchors trader consensus at 51.5% for the August 4 Michigan 13th District Democratic primary, bolstering his incumbency edge in the solidly Democratic (D+22 PVI) Detroit-area seat. State Rep. Donavan McKinney, at 38.5%, has gained traction via progressive endorsements from Justice Democrats, Bernie Sanders, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, unions, and most recently Indivisible groups on May 1, fueling momentum among the district's majority-Black voters critical of Thanedar's representation. Absent polls, the closely contested market reflects fundraising dominance versus grassroots energy, with minor candidates like Shelby Campbell trailing far behind. Key watch: summer campaign spending and turnout in this open primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,745
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 52%, followed by "Donavan McKinney" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" has generated $22.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" is "Shri Thanedar" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.