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icon for Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

icon for Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13

Donavan McKinney 84%

Shri Thanedar 17%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$215,018 Vol.

Donavan McKinney 84%

Shri Thanedar 17%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$215,018 Vol.

icon for Donavan McKinney

Donavan McKinney

$123,842 Vol.

84%

icon for Shri Thanedar

Shri Thanedar

$85,408 Vol.

17%

icon for Shelby Campbell

Shelby Campbell

$1,831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anthony Carbonaro

Anthony Carbonaro

$2,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nazmul Hassan

Nazmul Hassan

$1,867 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The upcoming August 4 Democratic primary for Michigan's 13th Congressional District centers on incumbent Shri Thanedar facing state Rep. Donavan McKinney in a narrowed two-candidate contest after others were disqualified. McKinney's strong backing from progressive groups including the Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and Working Families Party, combined with emphasis on restoring Black representation in the majority-Black Detroit-based district, has driven trader consensus toward McKinney despite a July poll showing Thanedar ahead 46-42. Thanedar's advantages include self-funding, AIPAC support, and House Democratic leadership ties, yet the one-on-one dynamic and recent campaign intensity have shifted implied probabilities heavily toward McKinney in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$215,018
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The upcoming August 4 Democratic primary for Michigan's 13th Congressional District centers on incumbent Shri Thanedar facing state Rep. Donavan McKinney in a narrowed two-candidate contest after others were disqualified. McKinney's strong backing from progressive groups including the Democratic Socialists of America, Justice Democrats, and Working Families Party, combined with emphasis on restoring Black representation in the majority-Black Detroit-based district, has driven trader consensus toward McKinney despite a July poll showing Thanedar ahead 46-42. Thanedar's advantages include self-funding, AIPAC support, and House Democratic leadership ties, yet the one-on-one dynamic and recent campaign intensity have shifted implied probabilities heavily toward McKinney in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$215,018
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 84%, followed by "Shri Thanedar" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" has generated $215K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" is "Donavan McKinney" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas do MI-13" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.