Kansas's Republican tilt and Roger Marshall's status as the two-term incumbent continue to anchor trader expectations for a November 3 general election victory, even as polling averages show a single-digit margin. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, secured his party's nomination in an August 4 primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Most nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Recent developments include a September 16 endorsement of Hamilton by former GOP Governor Bill Graves and reports of Marshall's past medical billing practices, though these have not materially altered the race's fundamentals. The market's pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighing incumbency, partisanship, and limited late-cycle shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Kansas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Kansas
$54,237 Vol.
$54,237 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
76%
Adam Hamilton (D)
24%
$54,237 Vol.
$54,237 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$34,532 Vol.
76%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$19,705 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's Republican tilt and Roger Marshall's status as the two-term incumbent continue to anchor trader expectations for a November 3 general election victory, even as polling averages show a single-digit margin. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, secured his party's nomination in an August 4 primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Most nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Recent developments include a September 16 endorsement of Hamilton by former GOP Governor Bill Graves and reports of Marshall's past medical billing practices, though these have not materially altered the race's fundamentals. The market's pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighing incumbency, partisanship, and limited late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$54,237Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's Republican tilt and Roger Marshall's status as the two-term incumbent continue to anchor trader expectations for a November 3 general election victory, even as polling averages show a single-digit margin. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, secured his party's nomination in an August 4 primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Most nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Recent developments include a September 16 endorsement of Hamilton by former GOP Governor Bill Graves and reports of Marshall's past medical billing practices, though these have not materially altered the race's fundamentals. The market's pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighing incumbency, partisanship, and limited late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$54,237Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's Republican tilt and Roger Marshall's status as the two-term incumbent continue to anchor trader expectations for a November 3 general election victory, even as polling averages show a single-digit margin. Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee and senior pastor of a large United Methodist congregation, secured his party's nomination in an August 4 primary but faces structural headwinds in a state Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Most nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican. Recent developments include a September 16 endorsement of Hamilton by former GOP Governor Bill Graves and reports of Marshall's past medical billing practices, though these have not materially altered the race's fundamentals. The market's pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds weighing incumbency, partisanship, and limited late-cycle shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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