With the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination still far off and no dominant frontrunner, trader consensus shows a fragmented field in which no potential vice presidential nominee exceeds 12 percent implied probability. Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez lead on the basis of statewide executive experience and national progressive visibility, respectively, while figures such as Elissa Slotkin and Andy Beshear attract support through Senate records or gubernatorial records in competitive states. Recent post-election positioning and early speculation about ticket balance have sustained this dispersion. Consolidation around one outcome would likely require a clear presidential frontrunner to emerge, strong 2026 midterm results that elevate certain officeholders, or shifts in party emphasis on issues such as the economy and foreign policy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNomeado VP Democrático 2028
Gretchen Whitmer 11.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Elissa Slotkin 8.3%
Andrew Yang 7.8%
$89,041 Vol.
$89,041 Vol.
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Elissa Slotkin
8%
Andrew Yang
8%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Andy Beshear
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Barack Obama
4%
James Talarico
4%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Raphael Warnock
4%
Jared Polis
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Ro Khanna
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Roy Cooper
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
LeBron James
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Tim Walz
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
George Clooney
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
Gretchen Whitmer 11.4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
Elissa Slotkin 8.3%
Andrew Yang 7.8%
$89,041 Vol.
$89,041 Vol.
Gretchen Whitmer
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Elissa Slotkin
8%
Andrew Yang
8%
Pete Buttigieg
6%
Jon Ossoff
5%
Andy Beshear
5%
Josh Shapiro
5%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Barack Obama
4%
James Talarico
4%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
Raphael Warnock
4%
Jared Polis
4%
Phil Murphy
4%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Ro Khanna
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Roy Cooper
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
LeBron James
3%
Rahm Emanuel
3%
Gavin Newsom
3%
Bernie Sanders
3%
Ruben Gallego
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Tim Walz
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Chris Murphy
1%
Oprah Winfrey
1%
Beto O’Rourke
1%
Kamala Harris
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
George Clooney
1%
Mark Cuban
1%
Cory Booker
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Liz Cheney
<1%
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
Gina Raimondo
<1%
Hunter Biden
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination still far off and no dominant frontrunner, trader consensus shows a fragmented field in which no potential vice presidential nominee exceeds 12 percent implied probability. Gretchen Whitmer and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez lead on the basis of statewide executive experience and national progressive visibility, respectively, while figures such as Elissa Slotkin and Andy Beshear attract support through Senate records or gubernatorial records in competitive states. Recent post-election positioning and early speculation about ticket balance have sustained this dispersion. Consolidation around one outcome would likely require a clear presidential frontrunner to emerge, strong 2026 midterm results that elevate certain officeholders, or shifts in party emphasis on issues such as the economy and foreign policy.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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