As of August 2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its exploratory phase, with no major-party contenders having launched formal campaigns despite widespread media speculation about figures such as JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Marco Rubio. Traders focus on early positioning moves—including fundraising committees, media tours, and state-level travel—while noting that historical patterns show most viable candidates wait until after the November 2026 midterms before declaring. A handful of lesser-known individuals have filed with the FEC, yet these have not shifted implied probabilities for prominent names. The compressed timeline to year-end increases uncertainty around who might accelerate an announcement to gain early momentum or donor support ahead of primary season.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
$987,673 Vol.

Kamala Harris
12%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Tucker Carlson
11%

Pete Buttigieg
11%

Gavin Newsom
10%

Andy Beshear
10%

Mark Kelly
10%

Stephen A. Smith
9%

Rand Paul
9%

Brian Kemp
9%

Steve Bannon
9%

Donald Trump
8%

Don Lemon
8%

Gretchen Whitmer
8%

Ted Cruz
8%

Matt Gaetz
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

J.B. Pritzker
8%

Candace Owens
7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Mark Cuban
7%

George Clooney
7%

Marco Rubio
6%

Vivek Ramaswamy
6%

Ron DeSantis
6%

J.D. Vance
6%

John Thune
6%

Cory Booker
5%

Glenn Youngkin
5%

Erika Kirk
5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%

Donald Trump Jr.
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Oprah Winfrey
4%

Jared Polis
4%

Greg Abbott
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Hunter Biden
4%

Jon Stewart
3%

Elise Stefanik
3%

Ivanka Trump
3%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Wes Moore
3%

Elon Musk
3%

MrBeast
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Andrew Yang
3%

Hillary Clinton
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Josh Hawley
2%

Beto O’Rourke
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Tom Brady
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
2%

Byron Donalds
2%

Tim Walz
2%

John Fetterman
2%

Michelle Obama
2%

LeBron James
2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%

Roy Cooper
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Mike Pence
1%
$987,673 Vol.

Kamala Harris
12%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Tucker Carlson
11%

Pete Buttigieg
11%

Gavin Newsom
10%

Andy Beshear
10%

Mark Kelly
10%

Stephen A. Smith
9%

Rand Paul
9%

Brian Kemp
9%

Steve Bannon
9%

Donald Trump
8%

Don Lemon
8%

Gretchen Whitmer
8%

Ted Cruz
8%

Matt Gaetz
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

J.B. Pritzker
8%

Candace Owens
7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

Mark Cuban
7%

George Clooney
7%

Marco Rubio
6%

Vivek Ramaswamy
6%

Ron DeSantis
6%

J.D. Vance
6%

John Thune
6%

Cory Booker
5%

Glenn Youngkin
5%

Erika Kirk
5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%

Donald Trump Jr.
5%

Josh Shapiro
5%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Oprah Winfrey
4%

Jared Polis
4%

Greg Abbott
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Hunter Biden
4%

Jon Stewart
3%

Elise Stefanik
3%

Ivanka Trump
3%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Wes Moore
3%

Elon Musk
3%

MrBeast
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Andrew Yang
3%

Hillary Clinton
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Josh Hawley
2%

Beto O’Rourke
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Tom Brady
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
2%

Byron Donalds
2%

Tim Walz
2%

John Fetterman
2%

Michelle Obama
2%

LeBron James
2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%

Roy Cooper
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Mike Pence
1%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of August 2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its exploratory phase, with no major-party contenders having launched formal campaigns despite widespread media speculation about figures such as JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Marco Rubio. Traders focus on early positioning moves—including fundraising committees, media tours, and state-level travel—while noting that historical patterns show most viable candidates wait until after the November 2026 midterms before declaring. A handful of lesser-known individuals have filed with the FEC, yet these have not shifted implied probabilities for prominent names. The compressed timeline to year-end increases uncertainty around who might accelerate an announcement to gain early momentum or donor support ahead of primary season.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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