As of early August 2026, no major-party candidates have announced 2028 presidential bids, aligning with historical patterns where formal declarations typically follow midterm elections. Exploratory activity remains limited to minor filings and a Libertarian committee formed in May, while potential contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and JD Vance focus on positioning through polling, speeches, and Senate or gubernatorial roles. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent early 2027 window represent key catalysts that could accelerate announcements before year-end, though structural factors like fundraising timelines and party dynamics continue to favor later starts. Trader consensus reflects this timeline uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
$995,809 Vol.

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Kamala Harris
11%

Tucker Carlson
10%

Gavin Newsom
10%

Andy Beshear
10%

Mark Kelly
10%

Pete Buttigieg
10%

Rand Paul
9%

Donald Trump
9%

Stephen A. Smith
9%

Brian Kemp
9%

Don Lemon
8%

Ted Cruz
8%

J.D. Vance
8%

Matt Gaetz
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

Steve Bannon
8%

Candace Owens
7%

Gretchen Whitmer
7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

J.B. Pritzker
6%

Marco Rubio
6%

Mark Cuban
6%

Josh Shapiro
6%

George Clooney
6%

Glenn Youngkin
5%

Cory Booker
5%

Greg Abbott
5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%

Erika Kirk
5%

Ron DeSantis
5%

Donald Trump Jr.
5%

Jared Polis
5%

Vivek Ramaswamy
5%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Oprah Winfrey
4%

Hunter Biden
4%

Elise Stefanik
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Elon Musk
4%

Jon Stewart
3%

Ivanka Trump
3%

John Thune
3%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Wes Moore
3%

MrBeast
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Hillary Clinton
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Josh Hawley
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Beto O’Rourke
2%

Andrew Yang
2%

Tom Brady
2%

Byron Donalds
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%

Michelle Obama
2%

LeBron James
2%

Tim Walz
2%

John Fetterman
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Mike Pence
1%
$995,809 Vol.

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Kamala Harris
11%

Tucker Carlson
10%

Gavin Newsom
10%

Andy Beshear
10%

Mark Kelly
10%

Pete Buttigieg
10%

Rand Paul
9%

Donald Trump
9%

Stephen A. Smith
9%

Brian Kemp
9%

Don Lemon
8%

Ted Cruz
8%

J.D. Vance
8%

Matt Gaetz
8%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%

Steve Bannon
8%

Candace Owens
7%

Gretchen Whitmer
7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%

Raphael Warnock
7%

J.B. Pritzker
6%

Marco Rubio
6%

Mark Cuban
6%

Josh Shapiro
6%

George Clooney
6%

Glenn Youngkin
5%

Cory Booker
5%

Greg Abbott
5%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%

Erika Kirk
5%

Ron DeSantis
5%

Donald Trump Jr.
5%

Jared Polis
5%

Vivek Ramaswamy
5%

Gina Raimondo
4%

Kristi Noem
4%

Oprah Winfrey
4%

Hunter Biden
4%

Elise Stefanik
4%

Nikki Haley
4%

Elon Musk
4%

Jon Stewart
3%

Ivanka Trump
3%

John Thune
3%

Jon Ossoff
3%

Wes Moore
3%

MrBeast
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

Hillary Clinton
3%

Liz Cheney
3%

Josh Hawley
2%

Kim Kardashian
2%

Beto O’Rourke
2%

Andrew Yang
2%

Tom Brady
2%

Byron Donalds
2%

Barack Obama
2%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%

Michelle Obama
2%

LeBron James
2%

Tim Walz
2%

John Fetterman
2%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Mike Pence
1%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of early August 2026, no major-party candidates have announced 2028 presidential bids, aligning with historical patterns where formal declarations typically follow midterm elections. Exploratory activity remains limited to minor filings and a Libertarian committee formed in May, while potential contenders such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and JD Vance focus on positioning through polling, speeches, and Senate or gubernatorial roles. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent early 2027 window represent key catalysts that could accelerate announcements before year-end, though structural factors like fundraising timelines and party dynamics continue to favor later starts. Trader consensus reflects this timeline uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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