Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Candidato presidencial democrata 2028
Eleições·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial democrata 2028
Eleições·Estados Unidos

Candidato presidencial democrata 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.5%

Jon Ossoff 16.2%

Gavin Newsom 13.9%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,276,819,908 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17.5%

Jon Ossoff 16.2%

Gavin Newsom 13.9%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,276,819,908 Vol.

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$15,145,912 Vol.

18%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$12,884,366 Vol.

16%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$27,234,170 Vol.

14%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$13,192,690 Vol.

8%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,879,650 Vol.

6%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$11,987,773 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$17,550,310 Vol.

3%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$13,156,028 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$14,548,174 Vol.

3%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$10,639,105 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$11,266,275 Vol.

2%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$18,419,037 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$15,646,774 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12,505,673 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$26,280,175 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$32,183,432 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$50,431,347 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$12,044,882 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$44,388,887 Vol.

1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$17,267,560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$52,737,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$36,462,328 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$26,243,066 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$38,929,589 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$34,032,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$1,180,801 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$23,008,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$22,929,438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$35,767,759 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$31,515,666 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$27,347,286 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$24,723,036 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$48,730,599 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$8,428,392 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$3,081,077 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$2,376,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$43,351,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$25,593,967 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$43,821,966 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$38,478,137 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$42,389,324 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$43,965,868 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$43,405,987 Vol.

<1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$40,994,348 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$54,387,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$42,810,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$42,861,291 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Platner

Graham Platner

$8,523,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$803,509 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$489,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$796,614 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus among Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom reflects a wide-open 2028 Democratic field with no declared frontrunner nearly two years after the prior cycle. Ocasio-Cortez has kept her options open through public statements and progressive organizing, while Ossoff has built national visibility through Senate work and Georgia positioning. Newsom has conducted early outreach, including repeated South Carolina visits ahead of his term limit. Prediction market pricing diverges from national polls favoring Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg, capturing trader views on base mobilization, fundraising paths, and primary dynamics ahead of the midterms. Further separation could follow formal announcements, debate performances, or shifts in key early states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,276,819,908
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus among Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, and Gavin Newsom reflects a wide-open 2028 Democratic field with no declared frontrunner nearly two years after the prior cycle. Ocasio-Cortez has kept her options open through public statements and progressive organizing, while Ossoff has built national visibility through Senate work and Georgia positioning. Newsom has conducted early outreach, including repeated South Carolina visits ahead of his term limit. Prediction market pricing diverges from national polls favoring Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg, capturing trader views on base mobilization, fundraising paths, and primary dynamics ahead of the midterms. Further separation could follow formal announcements, debate performances, or shifts in key early states.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,276,819,908
Data de Término
7 nov 2028
Mercado Aberto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 18%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" has generated $1.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidato presidencial democrata 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.