The trader consensus positions Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear frontrunner for second place in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round, driven by his established profile as a leading right-wing figure and alignment with major opposition networks. This stands well ahead of Renan Santos, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and others, underscoring a fragmented opposition field and limited momentum behind alternative candidacies at present. Scheduled party conventions, coalition negotiations, and early polling trends in key states remain the primary variables that could alter positioning ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFlávio Bolsonaro 80%
Renan Santos 8.6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8.4%
Camilo Santana 1.2%
$4,378,902 Vol.
$4,378,902 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro
80%

Renan Santos
9%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%

Camilo Santana
1%

Fernando Haddad
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
1%

Tarcísio de Freitas
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Romeu Zema
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 80%
Renan Santos 8.6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8.4%
Camilo Santana 1.2%
$4,378,902 Vol.
$4,378,902 Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro
80%

Renan Santos
9%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
8%

Camilo Santana
1%

Fernando Haddad
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
1%

Tarcísio de Freitas
1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Romeu Zema
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The trader consensus positions Flávio Bolsonaro as the clear frontrunner for second place in Brazil's October 2026 presidential first round, driven by his established profile as a leading right-wing figure and alignment with major opposition networks. This stands well ahead of Renan Santos, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and others, underscoring a fragmented opposition field and limited momentum behind alternative candidacies at present. Scheduled party conventions, coalition negotiations, and early polling trends in key states remain the primary variables that could alter positioning ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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