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icon for Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar

Osvany Luz 40%

Ronaldo Dimas 40%

Professor Osvaldo 39%

Gaguim 38%

Polymarket
NOVO

Osvany Luz 40%

Ronaldo Dimas 40%

Professor Osvaldo 39%

Gaguim 38%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$41 Vol.

40%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$41 Vol.

40%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$41 Vol.

39%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$41 Vol.

38%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$41 Vol.

36%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$41 Vol.

33%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$41 Vol.

32%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$41 Vol.

25%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$41 Vol.

25%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$41 Vol.

18%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$41 Vol.

15%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$41 Vol.

43%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$533
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$533
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eduardo Gomes" at 43%, followed by "Osvany Luz" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" is "Eduardo Gomes" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Osvany Luz" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.