Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoGuilherme Derrite 23%
Petter Maahs 21%
Simone Tebet 15%
Marina Silva 14%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Guilherme Derrite
23%
Petter Maahs
21%
Simone Tebet
15%
Marina Silva
14%
Weller Gonçalves
11%
André do Prado
10%
Salles
10%
Soninha Francine
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
9%
Geraldo Rufino
9%
Marcio Alves
8%
Maíra de Souza
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
6%
William Teixeira
6%
Guilherme Derrite 23%
Petter Maahs 21%
Simone Tebet 15%
Marina Silva 14%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Guilherme Derrite
$134 Vol.
23%
Petter Maahs
$38 Vol.
21%
Simone Tebet
$123 Vol.
15%
Marina Silva
$123 Vol.
14%
Weller Gonçalves
$38 Vol.
11%
André do Prado
$78 Vol.
10%
Salles
$58 Vol.
10%
Soninha Francine
$70 Vol.
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$58 Vol.
9%
Geraldo Rufino
$56 Vol.
9%
Marcio Alves
$58 Vol.
8%
Maíra de Souza
$49 Vol.
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$71 Vol.
6%
William Teixeira
$81 Vol.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$1,038Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,038Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple strong contenders keep the São Paulo Senate race for second place tightly contested ahead of the October 2026 vote, as two seats are filled in a single round where voters select two names. Recent polls show ex-ministers Marina Silva and Simone Tebet holding narrow leads, with Guilherme Derrite close behind and names like Petter Maahs, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles within striking distance. The fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates, combined with shifting alliances and undecided voters, sustains the competitive positioning reflected in trader consensus. Upcoming polling releases, candidate conventions, and endorsements could consolidate support or widen gaps among the top group.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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