Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMárcio Junqueira 39%
Helio Bolsonaro 36%
Regina Tio Ivo 33%
Mario Rocha 26%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Márcio Junqueira
39%
Helio Bolsonaro
36%
Regina Tio Ivo
33%
Mario Rocha
26%
Rogério Miranda
21%
Hilton Xavier
20%
Teresa Surita
19%
Chico Rodrigues
20%
Nicoletti
23%
Pastor Isamar
20%
Helena da Asatur
10%
Bartô Macuxi
8%
Hiperion de Oliveira
35%
Márcio Junqueira 39%
Helio Bolsonaro 36%
Regina Tio Ivo 33%
Mario Rocha 26%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Márcio Junqueira
$57 Vol.
39%
Helio Bolsonaro
$57 Vol.
36%
Regina Tio Ivo
$57 Vol.
33%
Mario Rocha
$57 Vol.
26%
Rogério Miranda
$57 Vol.
21%
Hilton Xavier
$57 Vol.
20%
Teresa Surita
$57 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$73 Vol.
20%
Nicoletti
$78 Vol.
23%
Pastor Isamar
$78 Vol.
20%
Helena da Asatur
$57 Vol.
10%
Bartô Macuxi
$57 Vol.
8%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$73 Vol.
35%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$811Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$811Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate registrations by the August 15 deadline have formalized a crowded field for Roraima’s single Senate seat, with figures including incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB), Teresa Surita (MDB), Rogério Miranda, and others entering the race. This has sustained closely matched trader probabilities among top names, as older surveys showed no dominant leader and the small state electorate often produces fragmented results. Party conventions and alliances have further distributed support without clear separation. Fresh polling, debate performances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key voting blocs before the October election could widen gaps in the implied probabilities reflected by market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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