The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTeresa Surita 47%
Pastor Isamar 46%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Helio Bolsonaro 43%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Teresa Surita
47%
Pastor Isamar
46%
Regina Tio Ivo
46%
Helio Bolsonaro
43%
Chico Rodrigues
42%
Hilton Xavier
42%
Rogério Miranda
42%
Bartô Macuxi
39%
Helena da Asatur
38%
Mario Rocha
28%
Nicoletti
26%
Márcio Junqueira
23%
Hiperion de Oliveira
22%
Teresa Surita 47%
Pastor Isamar 46%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Helio Bolsonaro 43%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Teresa Surita
$0 Vol.
47%
Pastor Isamar
$0 Vol.
46%
Regina Tio Ivo
$0 Vol.
46%
Helio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
43%
Chico Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
42%
Hilton Xavier
$0 Vol.
42%
Rogério Miranda
$0 Vol.
42%
Bartô Macuxi
$0 Vol.
39%
Helena da Asatur
$0 Vol.
38%
Mario Rocha
$0 Vol.
28%
Nicoletti
$0 Vol.
26%
Márcio Junqueira
$0 Vol.
23%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of over a dozen registered candidates for Roraima’s single Senate seat in 2026 has kept second-place probabilities tightly clustered, reflecting trader views of a fragmented contest with no dominant challenger yet emerging. Recent party conventions and the August 15 candidacy registration deadline formalized bids from figures including Mario Rocha (PSOL), Teresa Surita (MDB), Chico Rodrigues (PSB), and others, adding volatility without clear polling updates since earlier surveys showed Denarium and Surita ahead. Historical patterns of state-level races with multiple viable contenders, combined with shifting alliances and limited recent survey data, sustain uncertainty around who consolidates opposition support behind any frontrunner. Upcoming campaign events or coalition announcements could quickly separate contenders by clarifying vote consolidation ahead of the October election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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