The by-election for Tonga's Niua 17 constituency, scheduled for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court voiding of former MP Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery grounds, which led to his unseating and a five-year bar from contesting. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September: ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and Sitiveni Selui, each drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency. With first-past-the-post voting and support likely split along village lines in this remote electorate, no single contender has emerged as dominant. Trader consensus on the fragmented field reflects this uncertainty, where modest shifts in local turnout or last-minute endorsements could consolidate votes and alter outcomes ahead of polling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSitiveni Selui 46%
Sione Tuifio Hui 45%
Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 44%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 44%
Sitiveni Selui
46%
Sione Tuifio Hui
45%
Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
44%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
44%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
25%
Sitiveni Selui 46%
Sione Tuifio Hui 45%
Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 44%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau 44%
Sitiveni Selui
46%
Sione Tuifio Hui
45%
Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
44%
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
44%
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
25%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for Tonga's Niua 17 constituency, scheduled for 8 October 2026, follows the Supreme Court voiding of former MP Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery grounds, which led to his unseating and a five-year bar from contesting. Five candidates registered after nominations closed in early September: ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, and Sitiveni Selui, each drawn from villages across the small Niuas constituency. With first-past-the-post voting and support likely split along village lines in this remote electorate, no single contender has emerged as dominant. Trader consensus on the fragmented field reflects this uncertainty, where modest shifts in local turnout or last-minute endorsements could consolidate votes and alter outcomes ahead of polling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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