Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 without an incumbent, carries an R+4 partisan voting index that underpins the Republican edge in trader consensus. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with about 31 percent in a crowded field of self-funded candidates, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map changes and 2024 presidential results in the district. High primary spending and national targeting by both parties' campaign committees highlight its competitiveness, though structural factors and recent ratings continue to support the current probability split.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa FL-22
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa FL-22
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
56%
Partido Democrata
43%
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,810 Vol.
56%
Partido Democrata
$17,525 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 without an incumbent, carries an R+4 partisan voting index that underpins the Republican edge in trader consensus. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with about 31 percent in a crowded field of self-funded candidates, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map changes and 2024 presidential results in the district. High primary spending and national targeting by both parties' campaign committees highlight its competitiveness, though structural factors and recent ratings continue to support the current probability split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$40,334Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 without an incumbent, carries an R+4 partisan voting index that underpins the Republican edge in trader consensus. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with about 31 percent in a crowded field of self-funded candidates, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map changes and 2024 presidential results in the district. High primary spending and national targeting by both parties' campaign committees highlight its competitiveness, though structural factors and recent ratings continue to support the current probability split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,334Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 without an incumbent, carries an R+4 partisan voting index that underpins the Republican edge in trader consensus. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary with about 31 percent in a crowded field of self-funded candidates, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean or Tilt Republican, reflecting the map changes and 2024 presidential results in the district. High primary spending and national targeting by both parties' campaign committees highlight its competitiveness, though structural factors and recent ratings continue to support the current probability split.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions