Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Downing's prior 65.7% victory margin and unopposed Republican primary on June 2, underpins this outlook, as do consistent Solid and Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Brian Miller, who won his June primary, faces structural challenges in a district covering eastern Montana including Billings and Great Falls. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national midterm shift favoring Democrats, significant late-cycle developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen issues impacting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMT-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
MT-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$44,336 Vol.
$44,336 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Democrata
6%
$44,336 Vol.
$44,336 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,144 Vol.
95%
Partido Democrata
$18,193 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Downing's prior 65.7% victory margin and unopposed Republican primary on June 2, underpins this outlook, as do consistent Solid and Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Brian Miller, who won his June primary, faces structural challenges in a district covering eastern Montana including Billings and Great Falls. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national midterm shift favoring Democrats, significant late-cycle developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen issues impacting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$44,336Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Downing's prior 65.7% victory margin and unopposed Republican primary on June 2, underpins this outlook, as do consistent Solid and Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Brian Miller, who won his June primary, faces structural challenges in a district covering eastern Montana including Billings and Great Falls. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national midterm shift favoring Democrats, significant late-cycle developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen issues impacting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,336Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana's 2nd congressional district race, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Republican Party. The district's R+15 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Downing's prior 65.7% victory margin and unopposed Republican primary on June 2, underpins this outlook, as do consistent Solid and Safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Brian Miller, who won his June primary, faces structural challenges in a district covering eastern Montana including Billings and Great Falls. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national midterm shift favoring Democrats, significant late-cycle developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen issues impacting the incumbent before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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