Democrats hold a strong edge in the PA-07 race due to the district's recent history and candidate matchup. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie flipped the Lehigh Valley seat in 2024 with just 50.5% of the vote after it was held by Democrats for years. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader, secured the nomination in the May 19 primary and brings working-class appeal plus labor endorsements to challenge him in November. Traders see these factors, along with the district's competitive profile and broader midterm dynamics, as tilting the contest toward a Democratic flip, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from fundraising, turnout efforts, or national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
$12,503 Vol.
$12,503 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
24%
$12,503 Vol.
$12,503 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,635 Vol.
77%
Republican Party
$868 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrats hold a strong edge in the PA-07 race due to the district's recent history and candidate matchup. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie flipped the Lehigh Valley seat in 2024 with just 50.5% of the vote after it was held by Democrats for years. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader, secured the nomination in the May 19 primary and brings working-class appeal plus labor endorsements to challenge him in November. Traders see these factors, along with the district's competitive profile and broader midterm dynamics, as tilting the contest toward a Democratic flip, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from fundraising, turnout efforts, or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$12,503Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrats hold a strong edge in the PA-07 race due to the district's recent history and candidate matchup. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie flipped the Lehigh Valley seat in 2024 with just 50.5% of the vote after it was held by Democrats for years. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader, secured the nomination in the May 19 primary and brings working-class appeal plus labor endorsements to challenge him in November. Traders see these factors, along with the district's competitive profile and broader midterm dynamics, as tilting the contest toward a Democratic flip, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from fundraising, turnout efforts, or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,503Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrats hold a strong edge in the PA-07 race due to the district's recent history and candidate matchup. Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie flipped the Lehigh Valley seat in 2024 with just 50.5% of the vote after it was held by Democrats for years. Democrat Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader, secured the nomination in the May 19 primary and brings working-class appeal plus labor endorsements to challenge him in November. Traders see these factors, along with the district's competitive profile and broader midterm dynamics, as tilting the contest toward a Democratic flip, though the general election remains months away and subject to shifts from fundraising, turnout efforts, or national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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