Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett leads Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an implied 78.5% probability of victory. Bennett secured her nomination in the June 2 primary and benefits from a June poll showing a 4-5 point edge, driven by strong independent support and Kean’s unfavorable ratings. As a midterm contest, the race occurs amid typical opposition-party gains, with Democratic messaging centering on affordability concerns. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024, faces questions over extended congressional absences tied to health matters. The district’s suburban and competitive profile amplifies sensitivity to national conditions, though ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNJ-07 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NJ-07 Vencedor da eleição da casa
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
79%
Partido Republicano
19%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$537 Vol.
79%
Partido Republicano
$4,185 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett leads Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an implied 78.5% probability of victory. Bennett secured her nomination in the June 2 primary and benefits from a June poll showing a 4-5 point edge, driven by strong independent support and Kean’s unfavorable ratings. As a midterm contest, the race occurs amid typical opposition-party gains, with Democratic messaging centering on affordability concerns. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024, faces questions over extended congressional absences tied to health matters. The district’s suburban and competitive profile amplifies sensitivity to national conditions, though ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$4,722Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett leads Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an implied 78.5% probability of victory. Bennett secured her nomination in the June 2 primary and benefits from a June poll showing a 4-5 point edge, driven by strong independent support and Kean’s unfavorable ratings. As a midterm contest, the race occurs amid typical opposition-party gains, with Democratic messaging centering on affordability concerns. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024, faces questions over extended congressional absences tied to health matters. The district’s suburban and competitive profile amplifies sensitivity to national conditions, though ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$4,722Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett leads Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an implied 78.5% probability of victory. Bennett secured her nomination in the June 2 primary and benefits from a June poll showing a 4-5 point edge, driven by strong independent support and Kean’s unfavorable ratings. As a midterm contest, the race occurs amid typical opposition-party gains, with Democratic messaging centering on affordability concerns. Kean, who won narrowly in 2024, faces questions over extended congressional absences tied to health matters. The district’s suburban and competitive profile amplifies sensitivity to national conditions, though ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify it as a toss-up or lean Republican.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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