New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat following the retirement of incumbent Chris Pappas, who won reelection with 54 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 86 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s southeastern composition, including Greater Manchester and the Seacoast region, together with early polling showing leading Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen maintaining double-digit advantages in a crowded field. The Republican side has drawn less visibility and fundraising attention ahead of the September 8 primaries. No major late developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the seat’s established partisan baseline and candidate positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa NH-01
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa NH-01
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
86%
Partido Republicano
13%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$5,358 Vol.
86%
Partido Republicano
$3,013 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat following the retirement of incumbent Chris Pappas, who won reelection with 54 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 86 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s southeastern composition, including Greater Manchester and the Seacoast region, together with early polling showing leading Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen maintaining double-digit advantages in a crowded field. The Republican side has drawn less visibility and fundraising attention ahead of the September 8 primaries. No major late developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the seat’s established partisan baseline and candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$8,372Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat following the retirement of incumbent Chris Pappas, who won reelection with 54 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 86 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s southeastern composition, including Greater Manchester and the Seacoast region, together with early polling showing leading Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen maintaining double-digit advantages in a crowded field. The Republican side has drawn less visibility and fundraising attention ahead of the September 8 primaries. No major late developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the seat’s established partisan baseline and candidate positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,372Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat following the retirement of incumbent Chris Pappas, who won reelection with 54 percent in 2024. Trader consensus at 86 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district’s southeastern composition, including Greater Manchester and the Seacoast region, together with early polling showing leading Democratic primary contenders such as Stefany Shaheen maintaining double-digit advantages in a crowded field. The Republican side has drawn less visibility and fundraising attention ahead of the September 8 primaries. No major late developments have altered these fundamentals in recent weeks, leaving the implied probability anchored in the seat’s established partisan baseline and candidate positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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