The TX-07 district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by Lizzie Fletcher's 61% reelection margin in 2024 and the area's support for Democratic candidates that cycle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Fletcher secured her primary without opposition, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a runoff, yet independent forecasts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area boundaries largely intact with a diverse electorate that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantage and lack of competitive indicators limit realistic paths for a Republican flip.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-07
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-07
$21,108 Vol.
$21,108 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$21,108 Vol.
$21,108 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$12,168 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,940 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-07 district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by Lizzie Fletcher's 61% reelection margin in 2024 and the area's support for Democratic candidates that cycle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Fletcher secured her primary without opposition, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a runoff, yet independent forecasts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area boundaries largely intact with a diverse electorate that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantage and lack of competitive indicators limit realistic paths for a Republican flip.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,108Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-07 district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by Lizzie Fletcher's 61% reelection margin in 2024 and the area's support for Democratic candidates that cycle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Fletcher secured her primary without opposition, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a runoff, yet independent forecasts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area boundaries largely intact with a diverse electorate that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantage and lack of competitive indicators limit realistic paths for a Republican flip.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,108Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-07 district's established Democratic lean, reinforced by Lizzie Fletcher's 61% reelection margin in 2024 and the area's support for Democratic candidates that cycle, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Fletcher secured her primary without opposition, while Republican Alexander Hale emerged from a runoff, yet independent forecasts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent redistricting left the Houston-area boundaries largely intact with a diverse electorate that has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. A major national shift, unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantage and lack of competitive indicators limit realistic paths for a Republican flip.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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