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icon for Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia

icon for Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia

nov 3

nov 3

nov 3

nov 3

nov 3

nov 3

nov 3

nov 3

Sim

27% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

27% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 43 would amend the state constitution to impose a two-thirds voter approval threshold on citizen-initiated local special taxes starting in 2027, aligning them with the existing requirement for government-referred measures and closing related loopholes. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 65% reflects early May 2026 PPIC polling showing just 39% support amid deep partisan splits, with backing concentrated among taxpayer-protection groups and Republican lawmakers while facing opposition from Democratic legislators, transit advocates, education organizations, and local governments concerned about reduced revenue flexibility for services. The measure reached the November 2026 ballot through a June legislative compromise that withdrew a stricter competing initiative, but no subsequent statewide polling has indicated a shift toward majority approval in the Democratic-leaning state.

Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volume
$3,067
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 43 would amend the state constitution to impose a two-thirds voter approval threshold on citizen-initiated local special taxes starting in 2027, aligning them with the existing requirement for government-referred measures and closing related loopholes. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 65% reflects early May 2026 PPIC polling showing just 39% support amid deep partisan splits, with backing concentrated among taxpayer-protection groups and Republican lawmakers while facing opposition from Democratic legislators, transit advocates, education organizations, and local governments concerned about reduced revenue flexibility for services. The measure reached the November 2026 ballot through a June legislative compromise that withdrew a stricter competing initiative, but no subsequent statewide polling has indicated a shift toward majority approval in the Democratic-leaning state.

Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volume
$3,067
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 43 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would raise the threshold for citizen-driven special tax ballot initiatives to pass from a simple majority to two-thirds, making it harder to impose or increase taxes. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Proposta do Limite de Votação para Impostos Locais Mais Altos da Califórnia" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia" is "Proposta do Limite de Votação para Impostos Locais Mais Altos da Califórnia" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Proposta de Limite de Votação de Imposto Local Mais Alto da Califórnia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.