Recent polls show Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 in a statistical tie, with incumbent Jared Moskowitz holding a narrow lead among early voters while challenger Oliver Larkin leads among those yet to vote and roughly 22% remain undecided. Larkin’s progressive campaign, including attacks labeling Moskowitz a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and union support, has narrowed an earlier double-digit gap and kept the outcome uncertain. The new district lines and voter composition in South Florida further complicate turnout projections. Late shifts in undecided voters or strong performance in remaining early voting could widen the margin for either candidate before primary day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMoskowitz 25%+ 50%
Moskowitz 15–20% 19%
Moskowitz 20–25% 17%
Moskowitz <5% 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
50%
Moskowitz 20–25%
17%
Moskowitz 15–20%
19%
Moskowitz 10–15%
1%
Moskowitz 5–10%
1%
Moskowitz <5%
10%
Larkin <5%
10%
Larkin 5–10%
9%
Larkin 10–15%
3%
Larkin 15–20%
3%
Larkin 20–25%
3%
Larkin 25%+
3%
Moskowitz 25%+ 50%
Moskowitz 15–20% 19%
Moskowitz 20–25% 17%
Moskowitz <5% 10%
NOVO
NOVO
18 ago 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
$133 Vol.
50%
Moskowitz 20–25%
$79 Vol.
17%
Moskowitz 15–20%
$73 Vol.
19%
Moskowitz 10–15%
$52 Vol.
1%
Moskowitz 5–10%
$31 Vol.
1%
Moskowitz <5%
$47 Vol.
10%
Larkin <5%
$47 Vol.
10%
Larkin 5–10%
$52 Vol.
9%
Larkin 10–15%
$112 Vol.
3%
Larkin 15–20%
$74 Vol.
3%
Larkin 20–25%
$52 Vol.
3%
Larkin 25%+
$140 Vol.
3%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 in a statistical tie, with incumbent Jared Moskowitz holding a narrow lead among early voters while challenger Oliver Larkin leads among those yet to vote and roughly 22% remain undecided. Larkin’s progressive campaign, including attacks labeling Moskowitz a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and union support, has narrowed an earlier double-digit gap and kept the outcome uncertain. The new district lines and voter composition in South Florida further complicate turnout projections. Late shifts in undecided voters or strong performance in remaining early voting could widen the margin for either candidate before primary day.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$895Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polls show Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 in a statistical tie, with incumbent Jared Moskowitz holding a narrow lead among early voters while challenger Oliver Larkin leads among those yet to vote and roughly 22% remain undecided. Larkin’s progressive campaign, including attacks labeling Moskowitz a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and union support, has narrowed an earlier double-digit gap and kept the outcome uncertain. The new district lines and voter composition in South Florida further complicate turnout projections. Late shifts in undecided voters or strong performance in remaining early voting could widen the margin for either candidate before primary day.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$895Data de Término
18 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 in a statistical tie, with incumbent Jared Moskowitz holding a narrow lead among early voters while challenger Oliver Larkin leads among those yet to vote and roughly 22% remain undecided. Larkin’s progressive campaign, including attacks labeling Moskowitz a “DeSantis Democrat,” combined with outside spending and union support, has narrowed an earlier double-digit gap and kept the outcome uncertain. The new district lines and voter composition in South Florida further complicate turnout projections. Late shifts in undecided voters or strong performance in remaining early voting could widen the margin for either candidate before primary day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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