David Crowley’s narrow upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers’ late endorsement, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the clear favorite against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin’s open 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent post-primary polls show Crowley holding a modest 3- to 4-point edge among likely voters, aided by stronger favorability ratings and his record of cross-aisle work in the state’s largest Democratic stronghold. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Trump-aligned candidate in a swing state where midterms have historically challenged the president’s party. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s establishment momentum, Milwaukee turnout potential, and the competitive but Democratic-leaning fundamentals more heavily than the tight polling averages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
$486,195 Vol.
$486,195 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$486,195 Vol.
$486,195 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$248,813 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$237,383 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley’s narrow upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers’ late endorsement, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the clear favorite against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin’s open 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent post-primary polls show Crowley holding a modest 3- to 4-point edge among likely voters, aided by stronger favorability ratings and his record of cross-aisle work in the state’s largest Democratic stronghold. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Trump-aligned candidate in a swing state where midterms have historically challenged the president’s party. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s establishment momentum, Milwaukee turnout potential, and the competitive but Democratic-leaning fundamentals more heavily than the tight polling averages.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$486,195Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley’s narrow upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers’ late endorsement, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the clear favorite against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin’s open 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent post-primary polls show Crowley holding a modest 3- to 4-point edge among likely voters, aided by stronger favorability ratings and his record of cross-aisle work in the state’s largest Democratic stronghold. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Trump-aligned candidate in a swing state where midterms have historically challenged the president’s party. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s establishment momentum, Milwaukee turnout potential, and the competitive but Democratic-leaning fundamentals more heavily than the tight polling averages.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$486,195Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley’s narrow upset victory in the August 11 Democratic primary over progressive frontrunner Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Governor Tony Evers’ late endorsement, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the clear favorite against Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin’s open 2026 gubernatorial race. Recent post-primary polls show Crowley holding a modest 3- to 4-point edge among likely voters, aided by stronger favorability ratings and his record of cross-aisle work in the state’s largest Democratic stronghold. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but faces headwinds as a Trump-aligned candidate in a swing state where midterms have historically challenged the president’s party. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s establishment momentum, Milwaukee turnout potential, and the competitive but Democratic-leaning fundamentals more heavily than the tight polling averages.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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