David Crowley leads the Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 80.5% implied probability following his narrow August 11 Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset with backing from retiring Gov. Tony Evers after briefly suspending his campaign, positioning him as a moderate establishment candidate focused on turnout in Milwaukee and suburban gains. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative endorsed by former President Trump, won his primary without significant opposition but trails in early general election polling that shows Crowley ahead by 3–4 points among likely voters. The open-seat contest in a state Trump carried in 2024 remains competitive, with independent voters and turnout patterns viewed as key variables through November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
$488,995 Vol.
$488,995 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$488,995 Vol.
$488,995 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$249,850 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$239,145 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley leads the Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 80.5% implied probability following his narrow August 11 Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset with backing from retiring Gov. Tony Evers after briefly suspending his campaign, positioning him as a moderate establishment candidate focused on turnout in Milwaukee and suburban gains. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative endorsed by former President Trump, won his primary without significant opposition but trails in early general election polling that shows Crowley ahead by 3–4 points among likely voters. The open-seat contest in a state Trump carried in 2024 remains competitive, with independent voters and turnout patterns viewed as key variables through November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$488,995Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley leads the Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 80.5% implied probability following his narrow August 11 Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset with backing from retiring Gov. Tony Evers after briefly suspending his campaign, positioning him as a moderate establishment candidate focused on turnout in Milwaukee and suburban gains. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative endorsed by former President Trump, won his primary without significant opposition but trails in early general election polling that shows Crowley ahead by 3–4 points among likely voters. The open-seat contest in a state Trump carried in 2024 remains competitive, with independent voters and turnout patterns viewed as key variables through November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$488,995Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley leads the Wisconsin gubernatorial race at 80.5% implied probability following his narrow August 11 Democratic primary victory over Francesca Hong. As Milwaukee County executive, Crowley secured the nomination in an upset with backing from retiring Gov. Tony Evers after briefly suspending his campaign, positioning him as a moderate establishment candidate focused on turnout in Milwaukee and suburban gains. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative endorsed by former President Trump, won his primary without significant opposition but trails in early general election polling that shows Crowley ahead by 3–4 points among likely voters. The open-seat contest in a state Trump carried in 2024 remains competitive, with independent voters and turnout patterns viewed as key variables through November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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