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Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma

Mike Mazzei 72.4%

Genter Drummond 28%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%

Charles McCall <1%

Polymarket

$483,627 Vol.

Mike Mazzei 72.4%

Genter Drummond 28%

Leisa Mitchell Haynes <1%

Charles McCall <1%

Polymarket

$483,627 Vol.

icon for Mike Mazzei

Mike Mazzei

$109,718 Vol.

72%

icon for Genter Drummond

Genter Drummond

$185,639 Vol.

28%

icon for Leisa Mitchell Haynes

Leisa Mitchell Haynes

$6,429 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charles McCall

Charles McCall

$145,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ryan Walters

Ryan Walters

$8,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chip Keating

Chip Keating

$6,670 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jake Merrick

Jake Merrick

$10,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Pinnell

Matt Pinnell

$10,847 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Mike Mazzei holds a strong 72.5% implied probability in the August 25 Republican runoff for the Oklahoma gubernatorial nomination, ahead of Attorney General Gentner Drummond at 27.5%, with all other primary candidates at 0.1%.** The positioning stems from the June 16 primary results, where Drummond narrowly edged Mazzei (roughly 26.3% to 26.0%) to advance from a crowded field that included Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and Jake Merrick. Mazzei benefited from President Trump’s endorsement as a “MAGA warrior,” which consolidated support among Trump-aligned Republican voters who view him as the more conservative option focused on eliminating income taxes, reducing regulations, and restricting foreign land ownership. His heavy self-funding (over $11 million) has supported aggressive campaigning in a state where the GOP primary typically decides the general election outcome. Drummond’s advantages center on his statewide name recognition and record as attorney general, including actions against out-of-state interests, but polls show him with higher unfavorables and weaker appeal among the most conservative primary voters. Recent early-August runoff polling indicated a statistical tie at around 44% each, with Mazzei leading among men and rural voters while Drummond performed better with women and in metro areas. The four-day window before the runoff leaves limited time for shifts, though late developments in turnout or messaging could still influence the result in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$483,627
Data de Término
25 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Mike Mazzei holds a strong 72.5% implied probability in the August 25 Republican runoff for the Oklahoma gubernatorial nomination, ahead of Attorney General Gentner Drummond at 27.5%, with all other primary candidates at 0.1%.** The positioning stems from the June 16 primary results, where Drummond narrowly edged Mazzei (roughly 26.3% to 26.0%) to advance from a crowded field that included Chip Keating, Charles McCall, and Jake Merrick. Mazzei benefited from President Trump’s endorsement as a “MAGA warrior,” which consolidated support among Trump-aligned Republican voters who view him as the more conservative option focused on eliminating income taxes, reducing regulations, and restricting foreign land ownership. His heavy self-funding (over $11 million) has supported aggressive campaigning in a state where the GOP primary typically decides the general election outcome. Drummond’s advantages center on his statewide name recognition and record as attorney general, including actions against out-of-state interests, but polls show him with higher unfavorables and weaker appeal among the most conservative primary voters. Recent early-August runoff polling indicated a statistical tie at around 44% each, with Mazzei leading among men and rural voters while Drummond performed better with women and in metro areas. The four-day window before the runoff leaves limited time for shifts, though late developments in turnout or messaging could still influence the result in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$483,627
Data de Término
25 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mike Mazzei" at 72%, followed by "Genter Drummond" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma" has generated $483.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma" is "Mike Mazzei" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Genter Drummond" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Oklahoma" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.