United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its control of candidate nominations across all 225 single-mandate districts, integration of Special Military Operation veterans into party lists, and administrative resources that historically translate modest party-list support (around 47-53% in recent FOM and VTsIOM surveys) into a large seat majority. Kremlin-aligned figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin head prominent slots, while opposition parties face restricted competition in key districts and limited media access. Trader consensus at 99.1% for United Russia gaining the most seats reflects these structural factors in Russia's mixed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes include unexpected turnout shifts, late security disruptions during the three-day vote, or major battlefield developments that sharply erode public confidence before polls close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição parlamentar da Rússia
Vencedor da eleição parlamentar da Rússia
Rússia Unida (ER) 99.0%
Novo Povo (NL) <1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
$3,700,282 Vol.
$3,700,282 Vol.
29 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
99%
Novo Povo (NL)
<1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 99.0%
Novo Povo (NL) <1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) <1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
$3,700,282 Vol.
$3,700,282 Vol.
29 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$1,162,828 Vol.
99%
Novo Povo (NL)
$160,302 Vol.
<1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$197,278 Vol.
<1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$258,215 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$69,265 Vol.
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
$742,252 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$505,710 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$604,433 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its control of candidate nominations across all 225 single-mandate districts, integration of Special Military Operation veterans into party lists, and administrative resources that historically translate modest party-list support (around 47-53% in recent FOM and VTsIOM surveys) into a large seat majority. Kremlin-aligned figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin head prominent slots, while opposition parties face restricted competition in key districts and limited media access. Trader consensus at 99.1% for United Russia gaining the most seats reflects these structural factors in Russia's mixed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes include unexpected turnout shifts, late security disruptions during the three-day vote, or major battlefield developments that sharply erode public confidence before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$3,700,282Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its control of candidate nominations across all 225 single-mandate districts, integration of Special Military Operation veterans into party lists, and administrative resources that historically translate modest party-list support (around 47-53% in recent FOM and VTsIOM surveys) into a large seat majority. Kremlin-aligned figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin head prominent slots, while opposition parties face restricted competition in key districts and limited media access. Trader consensus at 99.1% for United Russia gaining the most seats reflects these structural factors in Russia's mixed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes include unexpected turnout shifts, late security disruptions during the three-day vote, or major battlefield developments that sharply erode public confidence before polls close.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$3,700,282Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position in the September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its control of candidate nominations across all 225 single-mandate districts, integration of Special Military Operation veterans into party lists, and administrative resources that historically translate modest party-list support (around 47-53% in recent FOM and VTsIOM surveys) into a large seat majority. Kremlin-aligned figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin head prominent slots, while opposition parties face restricted competition in key districts and limited media access. Trader consensus at 99.1% for United Russia gaining the most seats reflects these structural factors in Russia's mixed electoral system. Scenarios that could still alter outcomes include unexpected turnout shifts, late security disruptions during the three-day vote, or major battlefield developments that sharply erode public confidence before polls close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
O Novo Povo (NL) vai conquistar o quarto maior número de assentos na próxima eleição parlamentar russa?
46%
Sim
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
55%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
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Frequently Asked Questions