United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election because of its status as the dominant ruling party, extensive state resources, and alignment with the Kremlin under President Putin. The party has secured consistent majorities in prior cycles through a mixed electoral system combining party lists and single-member districts, while registered opposition groups such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow parameters and show limited independent polling strength. Recent developments, including the June 2026 presidential decree setting the September 18–20 voting dates and Central Election Commission preparations, underscore institutional continuity. Regional elections in 2025 further reinforced United Russia’s organizational edge. Although scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, shifts in public sentiment over foreign policy, or unexpected legal changes could theoretically alter outcomes, the structural barriers to meaningful competition remain substantial.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRússia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Novo Povo (NL) 1.1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) <1%
$2,886,739 Vol.
$2,886,739 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
97%
Novo Povo (NL)
1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
<1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Novo Povo (NL) 1.1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) <1%
$2,886,739 Vol.
$2,886,739 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$718,558 Vol.
97%
Novo Povo (NL)
$115,292 Vol.
1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$160,252 Vol.
<1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$132,315 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$482,335 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$580,595 Vol.
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
$697,393 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election because of its status as the dominant ruling party, extensive state resources, and alignment with the Kremlin under President Putin. The party has secured consistent majorities in prior cycles through a mixed electoral system combining party lists and single-member districts, while registered opposition groups such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow parameters and show limited independent polling strength. Recent developments, including the June 2026 presidential decree setting the September 18–20 voting dates and Central Election Commission preparations, underscore institutional continuity. Regional elections in 2025 further reinforced United Russia’s organizational edge. Although scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, shifts in public sentiment over foreign policy, or unexpected legal changes could theoretically alter outcomes, the structural barriers to meaningful competition remain substantial.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$2,886,739Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election because of its status as the dominant ruling party, extensive state resources, and alignment with the Kremlin under President Putin. The party has secured consistent majorities in prior cycles through a mixed electoral system combining party lists and single-member districts, while registered opposition groups such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow parameters and show limited independent polling strength. Recent developments, including the June 2026 presidential decree setting the September 18–20 voting dates and Central Election Commission preparations, underscore institutional continuity. Regional elections in 2025 further reinforced United Russia’s organizational edge. Although scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, shifts in public sentiment over foreign policy, or unexpected legal changes could theoretically alter outcomes, the structural barriers to meaningful competition remain substantial.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$2,886,739Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election because of its status as the dominant ruling party, extensive state resources, and alignment with the Kremlin under President Putin. The party has secured consistent majorities in prior cycles through a mixed electoral system combining party lists and single-member districts, while registered opposition groups such as the Communist Party, LDPR, and New People operate within narrow parameters and show limited independent polling strength. Recent developments, including the June 2026 presidential decree setting the September 18–20 voting dates and Central Election Commission preparations, underscore institutional continuity. Regional elections in 2025 further reinforced United Russia’s organizational edge. Although scenarios such as sharp economic deterioration, shifts in public sentiment over foreign policy, or unexpected legal changes could theoretically alter outcomes, the structural barriers to meaningful competition remain substantial.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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O Rússia Unida (ER) ganhará mais assentos na próxima eleição parlamentar russa?
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Sim
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