United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with centralized control over candidate lists, regional structures, and the electoral process. Recent developments include the June 2026 party convention where the federal list was approved, featuring figures such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, alongside Vladimir Putin's public endorsement. September 2025 regional elections reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates securing overwhelming majorities amid limited genuine opposition participation. Systemic parties remain aligned with official positions, and structural barriers including candidate registration rules and electronic voting systems limit competitive challenges. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as significant internal elite realignments or external crises altering voter mobilization within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRússia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Novo Povo (NL) 1.1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) <1%
$2,889,780 Vol.
$2,889,780 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
97%
Novo Povo (NL)
1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
<1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 97.4%
Novo Povo (NL) 1.1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) <1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) <1%
$2,889,780 Vol.
$2,889,780 Vol.
30 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$718,558 Vol.
97%
Novo Povo (NL)
$115,292 Vol.
1%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$160,270 Vol.
<1%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$132,323 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$482,341 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$580,606 Vol.
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pelo Verdade (SRZP)
$700,390 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with centralized control over candidate lists, regional structures, and the electoral process. Recent developments include the June 2026 party convention where the federal list was approved, featuring figures such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, alongside Vladimir Putin's public endorsement. September 2025 regional elections reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates securing overwhelming majorities amid limited genuine opposition participation. Systemic parties remain aligned with official positions, and structural barriers including candidate registration rules and electronic voting systems limit competitive challenges. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as significant internal elite realignments or external crises altering voter mobilization within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volume
$2,889,780Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with centralized control over candidate lists, regional structures, and the electoral process. Recent developments include the June 2026 party convention where the federal list was approved, featuring figures such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, alongside Vladimir Putin's public endorsement. September 2025 regional elections reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates securing overwhelming majorities amid limited genuine opposition participation. Systemic parties remain aligned with official positions, and structural barriers including candidate registration rules and electronic voting systems limit competitive challenges. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as significant internal elite realignments or external crises altering voter mobilization within the resolution window.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$2,889,780Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election market due to its status as the ruling party with centralized control over candidate lists, regional structures, and the electoral process. Recent developments include the June 2026 party convention where the federal list was approved, featuring figures such as Sergey Lavrov and Sergey Sobyanin, alongside Vladimir Putin's public endorsement. September 2025 regional elections reinforced this pattern, with United Russia-aligned candidates securing overwhelming majorities amid limited genuine opposition participation. Systemic parties remain aligned with official positions, and structural barriers including candidate registration rules and electronic voting systems limit competitive challenges. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes remain narrow and would require major unforeseen disruptions, such as significant internal elite realignments or external crises altering voter mobilization within the resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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