Recent polls from outlets including Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie or with Talarico holding narrow leads of 1–5 points among likely voters, driven by the Democrat’s strong performance with independents, younger voters, and certain non-college-educated groups alongside high Democratic turnout intentions among Black voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge—over $68 million raised compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has supported broader outreach, while Paxton consolidated much of the Republican base following his May 2026 primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn. With the November 3 general election approaching and economy and immigration as top voter concerns, the contest remains highly sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
$843,240 Vol.
$843,240 Vol.
2 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
49%
$843,240 Vol.
$843,240 Vol.
2 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$405,116 Vol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$438,124 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from outlets including Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie or with Talarico holding narrow leads of 1–5 points among likely voters, driven by the Democrat’s strong performance with independents, younger voters, and certain non-college-educated groups alongside high Democratic turnout intentions among Black voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge—over $68 million raised compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has supported broader outreach, while Paxton consolidated much of the Republican base following his May 2026 primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn. With the November 3 general election approaching and economy and immigration as top voter concerns, the contest remains highly sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$843,240Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from outlets including Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie or with Talarico holding narrow leads of 1–5 points among likely voters, driven by the Democrat’s strong performance with independents, younger voters, and certain non-college-educated groups alongside high Democratic turnout intentions among Black voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge—over $68 million raised compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has supported broader outreach, while Paxton consolidated much of the Republican base following his May 2026 primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn. With the November 3 general election approaching and economy and immigration as top voter concerns, the contest remains highly sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$843,240Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from outlets including Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others show Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical tie or with Talarico holding narrow leads of 1–5 points among likely voters, driven by the Democrat’s strong performance with independents, younger voters, and certain non-college-educated groups alongside high Democratic turnout intentions among Black voters. Talarico’s substantial fundraising edge—over $68 million raised compared to Paxton’s roughly $9 million—has supported broader outreach, while Paxton consolidated much of the Republican base following his May 2026 primary runoff victory over incumbent John Cornyn. With the November 3 general election approaching and economy and immigration as top voter concerns, the contest remains highly sensitive to turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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