Recent polls from late April, including the University of Texas/Texas Politics Project survey, show Democratic nominee James Talarico leading both potential Republican opponents—incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton—by 7–8 points among likely voters, fueling the tight trader consensus with Republicans at 53.5%. This reflects Talarico's strong March primary win over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, robust fundraising exceeding $27 million in Q1, and high name recognition above 80%, challenging Texas' Republican Senate dominance unbroken since 1993. However, the GOP primary runoff on May 26 between establishment Cornyn and Trump-aligned Paxton could consolidate the base, while national midterm dynamics and turnout in battleground areas like urban centers versus rural strongholds will likely tip the balance in the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Texas
$192,713 Vol.
$192,713 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
54%
Democrata
48%
$192,713 Vol.
$192,713 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$106,437 Vol.
54%
Democrata
$86,276 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from late April, including the University of Texas/Texas Politics Project survey, show Democratic nominee James Talarico leading both potential Republican opponents—incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton—by 7–8 points among likely voters, fueling the tight trader consensus with Republicans at 53.5%. This reflects Talarico's strong March primary win over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, robust fundraising exceeding $27 million in Q1, and high name recognition above 80%, challenging Texas' Republican Senate dominance unbroken since 1993. However, the GOP primary runoff on May 26 between establishment Cornyn and Trump-aligned Paxton could consolidate the base, while national midterm dynamics and turnout in battleground areas like urban centers versus rural strongholds will likely tip the balance in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Volume
$192,713Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls from late April, including the University of Texas/Texas Politics Project survey, show Democratic nominee James Talarico leading both potential Republican opponents—incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton—by 7–8 points among likely voters, fueling the tight trader consensus with Republicans at 53.5%. This reflects Talarico's strong March primary win over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, robust fundraising exceeding $27 million in Q1, and high name recognition above 80%, challenging Texas' Republican Senate dominance unbroken since 1993. However, the GOP primary runoff on May 26 between establishment Cornyn and Trump-aligned Paxton could consolidate the base, while national midterm dynamics and turnout in battleground areas like urban centers versus rural strongholds will likely tip the balance in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$192,713Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from late April, including the University of Texas/Texas Politics Project survey, show Democratic nominee James Talarico leading both potential Republican opponents—incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton—by 7–8 points among likely voters, fueling the tight trader consensus with Republicans at 53.5%. This reflects Talarico's strong March primary win over Rep. Jasmine Crockett, robust fundraising exceeding $27 million in Q1, and high name recognition above 80%, challenging Texas' Republican Senate dominance unbroken since 1993. However, the GOP primary runoff on May 26 between establishment Cornyn and Trump-aligned Paxton could consolidate the base, while national midterm dynamics and turnout in battleground areas like urban centers versus rural strongholds will likely tip the balance in the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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