Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection, remains strongly positioned for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The state has consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, with both current seats held by the party. In the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan secured the party endorsement in late May after prevailing among delegates, drawing support from progressive figures and the retiring incumbent, while Representative Angie Craig continues as a moderate alternative. Early general election polling shows Democratic candidates leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya by double digits. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's electoral history and limited visible Republican momentum, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$25,075 Vol.
$25,075 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
90%
Republicano
11%
$25,075 Vol.
$25,075 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$17,121 Vol.
90%
Republicano
$7,955 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection, remains strongly positioned for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The state has consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, with both current seats held by the party. In the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan secured the party endorsement in late May after prevailing among delegates, drawing support from progressive figures and the retiring incumbent, while Representative Angie Craig continues as a moderate alternative. Early general election polling shows Democratic candidates leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya by double digits. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's electoral history and limited visible Republican momentum, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$25,075Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection, remains strongly positioned for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The state has consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, with both current seats held by the party. In the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan secured the party endorsement in late May after prevailing among delegates, drawing support from progressive figures and the retiring incumbent, while Representative Angie Craig continues as a moderate alternative. Early general election polling shows Democratic candidates leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya by double digits. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's electoral history and limited visible Republican momentum, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,075Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's decision not to seek reelection, remains strongly positioned for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The state has consistently supported Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles, with both current seats held by the party. In the Democratic primary scheduled for August 11, Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan secured the party endorsement in late May after prevailing among delegates, drawing support from progressive figures and the retiring incumbent, while Representative Angie Craig continues as a moderate alternative. Early general election polling shows Democratic candidates leading Republican contenders such as Michele Tafoya by double digits. These dynamics, combined with Minnesota's electoral history and limited visible Republican momentum, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions