Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic hold on the seat, her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and consistent polling leads of roughly four to five points against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya. The open contest, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a DFL nominee with strong party endorsement and grassroots support in a state that has not sent a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Recent surveys place Flanagan ahead in the low-to-mid 40s against Tafoya in the low 40s, aligning with forecaster ratings of the race as likely Democratic. Tafoya secured her nomination with over 50 percent in the GOP primary but faces structural headwinds. Potential shifts could arise from intensified focus on state-level fraud concerns, shifts in independent turnout, or unexpected late developments before the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Minnesota
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Minnesota
$68,983 Vol.
$68,983 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,983 Vol.
$68,983 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$50,049 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,934 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic hold on the seat, her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and consistent polling leads of roughly four to five points against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya. The open contest, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a DFL nominee with strong party endorsement and grassroots support in a state that has not sent a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Recent surveys place Flanagan ahead in the low-to-mid 40s against Tafoya in the low 40s, aligning with forecaster ratings of the race as likely Democratic. Tafoya secured her nomination with over 50 percent in the GOP primary but faces structural headwinds. Potential shifts could arise from intensified focus on state-level fraud concerns, shifts in independent turnout, or unexpected late developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$68,983Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic hold on the seat, her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and consistent polling leads of roughly four to five points against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya. The open contest, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a DFL nominee with strong party endorsement and grassroots support in a state that has not sent a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Recent surveys place Flanagan ahead in the low-to-mid 40s against Tafoya in the low 40s, aligning with forecaster ratings of the race as likely Democratic. Tafoya secured her nomination with over 50 percent in the GOP primary but faces structural headwinds. Potential shifts could arise from intensified focus on state-level fraud concerns, shifts in independent turnout, or unexpected late developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,983Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan's commanding position in the 2026 Minnesota Senate race stems from the state's long Democratic hold on the seat, her decisive August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig, and consistent polling leads of roughly four to five points against Republican nominee Michele Tafoya. The open contest, following incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, features a DFL nominee with strong party endorsement and grassroots support in a state that has not sent a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Recent surveys place Flanagan ahead in the low-to-mid 40s against Tafoya in the low 40s, aligning with forecaster ratings of the race as likely Democratic. Tafoya secured her nomination with over 50 percent in the GOP primary but faces structural headwinds. Potential shifts could arise from intensified focus on state-level fraud concerns, shifts in independent turnout, or unexpected late developments before the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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