Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has trended steadily leftward and delivered her a 10-point reelection margin in 2024 alongside an eight-point edge for the Democratic presidential nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Scholten launched her reelection campaign in early July and faces limited primary opposition, while Republicans are conducting an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates. These structural and incumbency advantages underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current levels, with the general-election outcome still subject to the August primaries and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
10%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$8,045 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$738 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has trended steadily leftward and delivered her a 10-point reelection margin in 2024 alongside an eight-point edge for the Democratic presidential nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Scholten launched her reelection campaign in early July and faces limited primary opposition, while Republicans are conducting an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates. These structural and incumbency advantages underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current levels, with the general-election outcome still subject to the August primaries and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volume
$8,783Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has trended steadily leftward and delivered her a 10-point reelection margin in 2024 alongside an eight-point edge for the Democratic presidential nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Scholten launched her reelection campaign in early July and faces limited primary opposition, while Republicans are conducting an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates. These structural and incumbency advantages underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current levels, with the general-election outcome still subject to the August primaries and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,783Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has trended steadily leftward and delivered her a 10-point reelection margin in 2024 alongside an eight-point edge for the Democratic presidential nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Likely or Solid Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. Scholten launched her reelection campaign in early July and faces limited primary opposition, while Republicans are conducting an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates. These structural and incumbency advantages underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at current levels, with the general-election outcome still subject to the August primaries and any late-cycle shifts in national conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions