Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MN-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MN-02
$18,278 Vol.
$18,278 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
91%
Partido Republicano
9%
$18,278 Vol.
$18,278 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$8,245 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$10,033 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$18,278Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,278Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 2nd congressional district remains a Democratic-leaning seat in the southern Twin Cities suburbs following incumbent Angie Craig's decision to retire and seek the U.S. Senate. The district's voting history, including Craig's 55.5% victory in 2024, underpins the strong Democratic frontrunner status ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 featuring endorsed contenders such as Matt Little alongside Kaela Berg and Matt Klein, party unity and fundraising advantages have solidified trader expectations. Republicans have yet to surface a high-profile challenger, keeping their implied probability low. Shifts could occur if the GOP recruits a compelling nominee, if primary divisions weaken the Democratic ticket, or if national midterm dynamics alter turnout in this battleground suburban area.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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