The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa MN-02
Vencedor da eleição da casa MN-02
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
24%
Partido Democrata
53%
NOVO
NOVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$156 Vol.
24%
Partido Democrata
$123 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$279Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$279Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s Senate bid, anchors trader pricing, with the district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index and “Likely Democratic” ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball supporting the Democratic Party’s 55% implied probability. Democratic primary dynamics, including Matt Little’s May 2026 endorsement and early polling leads, reinforce expectations that the nominee will benefit from suburban Twin Cities trends favoring the party. Republican primary contenders such as Eric Pratt face structural headwinds in a district that has trended Democratic in recent cycles, aligning with their lower 24.1% market share. With primaries still months away and no major late-breaking shifts reported, traders appear to price modest uncertainty around nominee quality and national midterm conditions while viewing a Democratic hold as the baseline outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions