Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, reflecting his renomination with over 90 percent in the June primary and recent Republican-commissioned polls showing 7- to 12-point leads over Democratic nominee Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a mid-July Democratic poll, had the race tied, but summer polling trends and Lombardo’s position as sitting governor in a swing state have shifted implied probabilities toward the Republican. Ford, the state attorney general who won his primary with roughly 64 percent, benefits from strong support among certain voter blocs, yet faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent months before Election Day. Market pricing captures these dynamics alongside the broader competitive environment in Nevada.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$53,816 Vol.
$53,816 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
65%
Aaron Ford (D)
33%
$53,816 Vol.
$53,816 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
$38,006 Vol.
65%
Aaron Ford (D)
$15,810 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, reflecting his renomination with over 90 percent in the June primary and recent Republican-commissioned polls showing 7- to 12-point leads over Democratic nominee Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a mid-July Democratic poll, had the race tied, but summer polling trends and Lombardo’s position as sitting governor in a swing state have shifted implied probabilities toward the Republican. Ford, the state attorney general who won his primary with roughly 64 percent, benefits from strong support among certain voter blocs, yet faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent months before Election Day. Market pricing captures these dynamics alongside the broader competitive environment in Nevada.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$53,816Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, reflecting his renomination with over 90 percent in the June primary and recent Republican-commissioned polls showing 7- to 12-point leads over Democratic nominee Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a mid-July Democratic poll, had the race tied, but summer polling trends and Lombardo’s position as sitting governor in a swing state have shifted implied probabilities toward the Republican. Ford, the state attorney general who won his primary with roughly 64 percent, benefits from strong support among certain voter blocs, yet faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent months before Election Day. Market pricing captures these dynamics alongside the broader competitive environment in Nevada.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$53,816Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a clear edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election, reflecting his renomination with over 90 percent in the June primary and recent Republican-commissioned polls showing 7- to 12-point leads over Democratic nominee Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a mid-July Democratic poll, had the race tied, but summer polling trends and Lombardo’s position as sitting governor in a swing state have shifted implied probabilities toward the Republican. Ford, the state attorney general who won his primary with roughly 64 percent, benefits from strong support among certain voter blocs, yet faces the structural challenges of challenging an incumbent months before Election Day. Market pricing captures these dynamics alongside the broader competitive environment in Nevada.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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