Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Guest’s unopposed primary advancement and prior general election margins exceeding 20 points, underpin the current trader consensus. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and absence of major recent developments or national shifts affecting the race further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MS-03
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MS-03
$33,643 Vol.
$33,643 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Democrata
6%
$33,643 Vol.
$33,643 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,585 Vol.
94%
Partido Democrata
$25,059 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Guest’s unopposed primary advancement and prior general election margins exceeding 20 points, underpin the current trader consensus. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and absence of major recent developments or national shifts affecting the race further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$33,643Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Guest’s unopposed primary advancement and prior general election margins exceeding 20 points, underpin the current trader consensus. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and absence of major recent developments or national shifts affecting the race further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,643Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi’s 3rd Congressional District general election on November 3. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, combined with Guest’s unopposed primary advancement and prior general election margins exceeding 20 points, underpin the current trader consensus. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and absence of major recent developments or national shifts affecting the race further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment remain the primary factors that could alter the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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