Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters reflect its eastern and southwestern Mississippi base, including areas like Meridian and Starkville, where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign events that would indicate competitiveness. Potential challenges remain limited to an unforeseen late-cycle scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan lean.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara MS-03
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara MS-03
$62,011 Vol.
$62,011 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
97%
Partido Democrata
<1%
$62,011 Vol.
$62,011 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,644 Vol.
97%
Partido Democrata
$39,366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters reflect its eastern and southwestern Mississippi base, including areas like Meridian and Starkville, where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign events that would indicate competitiveness. Potential challenges remain limited to an unforeseen late-cycle scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$62,011Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters reflect its eastern and southwestern Mississippi base, including areas like Meridian and Starkville, where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign events that would indicate competitiveness. Potential challenges remain limited to an unforeseen late-cycle scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$62,011Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Mississippi's 3rd congressional district, facing Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in the November general election. The district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters reflect its eastern and southwestern Mississippi base, including areas like Meridian and Starkville, where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus at 97% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or campaign events that would indicate competitiveness. Potential challenges remain limited to an unforeseen late-cycle scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic turnout surge capable of overcoming the district's entrenched partisan lean.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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