Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its western Utah counties and voting patterns, where the party captured a 32-point presidential margin in the prior cycle. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Mike Kennedy, an incumbent representative shifted into the district via redistricting, faces Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen after the Democratic primary was canceled. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain trader consensus around a wide Republican victory. Even so, an unforeseen scandal, sharp turnout swing, or national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$5,494 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its western Utah counties and voting patterns, where the party captured a 32-point presidential margin in the prior cycle. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Mike Kennedy, an incumbent representative shifted into the district via redistricting, faces Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen after the Democratic primary was canceled. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain trader consensus around a wide Republican victory. Even so, an unforeseen scandal, sharp turnout swing, or national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its western Utah counties and voting patterns, where the party captured a 32-point presidential margin in the prior cycle. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Mike Kennedy, an incumbent representative shifted into the district via redistricting, faces Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen after the Democratic primary was canceled. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain trader consensus around a wide Republican victory. Even so, an unforeseen scandal, sharp turnout swing, or national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt rooted in its western Utah counties and voting patterns, where the party captured a 32-point presidential margin in the prior cycle. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Republican nominee Mike Kennedy, an incumbent representative shifted into the district via redistricting, faces Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen after the Democratic primary was canceled. This structural advantage and limited opposition sustain trader consensus around a wide Republican victory. Even so, an unforeseen scandal, sharp turnout swing, or national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions