Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the market's 90.5% consensus for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek reelection, yet the seat drew a limited Democratic field, with Jonny Larsen advancing after the party's June primary was canceled. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Minor-party entries on the general-election ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unusual turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$5,494 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the market's 90.5% consensus for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek reelection, yet the seat drew a limited Democratic field, with Jonny Larsen advancing after the party's June primary was canceled. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Minor-party entries on the general-election ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unusual turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the market's 90.5% consensus for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek reelection, yet the seat drew a limited Democratic field, with Jonny Larsen advancing after the party's June primary was canceled. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Minor-party entries on the general-election ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unusual turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,043Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the market's 90.5% consensus for the Republican nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek reelection, yet the seat drew a limited Democratic field, with Jonny Larsen advancing after the party's June primary was canceled. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns favoring GOP candidates by wide margins. Minor-party entries on the general-election ballot are unlikely to alter the outcome. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, significant scandals, or unusual turnout shifts could theoretically narrow the gap, though none appear imminent.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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