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icon for Próxima Premier de Quebec
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próxima Premier de Quebec

icon for Próxima Premier de Quebec
Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próxima Premier de Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 76%

Christine Fréchette 19.8%

Charles Milliard 3.8%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$322,397 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 76%

Christine Fréchette 19.8%

Charles Milliard 3.8%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$322,397 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$22,425 Vol.

76%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$78,351 Vol.

20%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$19,280 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$38,396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$52,854 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier because the Parti Québécois maintains a narrow but consistent edge in recent polling ahead of the October 5 election, positioning the party to win the most seats under first-past-the-post rules despite popular-vote margins often below five points. Christine Fréchette, the CAQ leader and incumbent premier since April 2026, has narrowed gaps in late-summer surveys as the campaign centers on U.S. tariffs, health care, education and economic management, though her party trails after years of declining support. Charles Milliard’s Liberals and smaller parties remain further back, limiting alternative paths. The market reflects trader consensus on these polling and seat-projection trends, with debates scheduled for mid-September offering potential catalysts.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$322,397
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader assessments for Quebec’s next premier because the Parti Québécois maintains a narrow but consistent edge in recent polling ahead of the October 5 election, positioning the party to win the most seats under first-past-the-post rules despite popular-vote margins often below five points. Christine Fréchette, the CAQ leader and incumbent premier since April 2026, has narrowed gaps in late-summer surveys as the campaign centers on U.S. tariffs, health care, education and economic management, though her party trails after years of declining support. Charles Milliard’s Liberals and smaller parties remain further back, limiting alternative paths. The market reflects trader consensus on these polling and seat-projection trends, with debates scheduled for mid-September offering potential catalysts.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$322,397
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próxima Premier de Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 76%, followed by "Christine Fréchette" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próxima Premier de Quebec" has generated $322.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próxima Premier de Quebec," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próxima Premier de Quebec" is "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Christine Fréchette" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próxima Premier de Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.