Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple MK defections over the past year have reduced its parliamentary presence and shifted support toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together lists. Recent September polls consistently place the party at or below 1.1 percent—well under the 3.25 percent threshold—with figures such as 0.7 percent or 1.1 percent in major surveys. Gantz submitted a revamped slate in early September after failed merger talks, yet opposition figures continue urging him to withdraw to avoid splitting the anti-Netanyahu vote. These trends underpin trader consensus that Blue and White’s vote share will remain below 1.25 percent on election night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<0,75% 39%
0,75-1,25% 22%
2-3,25% 21%
1,25-2% 19%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,75%
39%
0,75-1,25%
22%
1,25-2%
19%
2-3,25%
21%
3,25%+
7%
<0,75% 39%
0,75-1,25% 22%
2-3,25% 21%
1,25-2% 19%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<0,75%
$244 Vol.
39%
0,75-1,25%
$373 Vol.
22%
1,25-2%
$15 Vol.
19%
2-3,25%
$15 Vol.
21%
3,25%+
$245 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple MK defections over the past year have reduced its parliamentary presence and shifted support toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together lists. Recent September polls consistently place the party at or below 1.1 percent—well under the 3.25 percent threshold—with figures such as 0.7 percent or 1.1 percent in major surveys. Gantz submitted a revamped slate in early September after failed merger talks, yet opposition figures continue urging him to withdraw to avoid splitting the anti-Netanyahu vote. These trends underpin trader consensus that Blue and White’s vote share will remain below 1.25 percent on election night.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volume
$892Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple MK defections over the past year have reduced its parliamentary presence and shifted support toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together lists. Recent September polls consistently place the party at or below 1.1 percent—well under the 3.25 percent threshold—with figures such as 0.7 percent or 1.1 percent in major surveys. Gantz submitted a revamped slate in early September after failed merger talks, yet opposition figures continue urging him to withdraw to avoid splitting the anti-Netanyahu vote. These trends underpin trader consensus that Blue and White’s vote share will remain below 1.25 percent on election night.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$892Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, faces structural headwinds ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Multiple MK defections over the past year have reduced its parliamentary presence and shifted support toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar and Naftali Bennett’s Together lists. Recent September polls consistently place the party at or below 1.1 percent—well under the 3.25 percent threshold—with figures such as 0.7 percent or 1.1 percent in major surveys. Gantz submitted a revamped slate in early September after failed merger talks, yet opposition figures continue urging him to withdraw to avoid splitting the anti-Netanyahu vote. These trends underpin trader consensus that Blue and White’s vote share will remain below 1.25 percent on election night.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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