Recent polling shows Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance contesting the October 2026 Knesset election, fluctuating between roughly 10 and 15 seats amid a fragmented opposition. The initial merger boost faded as Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, gained ground and drew overlapping center-right and centrist voters, while Likud stabilized its base. Traders price the 7-11% bins nearly evenly because surveys continue to shift with security developments, coalition negotiations signals, and turnout patterns among swing blocs. A strong debate performance, new endorsement, or clearer separation from competing lists could widen the range, while further erosion in opposition unity would likely compress it toward the lower bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição de Israel: Juntos, voto compartilhado?
7-9% 44%
9-11% 44%
<7% 43%
11-13% 43%
<7%
43%
7-9%
44%
9-11%
44%
11-13%
43%
13% ou mais
43%
7-9% 44%
9-11% 44%
<7% 43%
11-13% 43%
<7%
43%
7-9%
44%
9-11%
44%
11-13%
43%
13% ou mais
43%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance contesting the October 2026 Knesset election, fluctuating between roughly 10 and 15 seats amid a fragmented opposition. The initial merger boost faded as Yashar, led by Gadi Eisenkot, gained ground and drew overlapping center-right and centrist voters, while Likud stabilized its base. Traders price the 7-11% bins nearly evenly because surveys continue to shift with security developments, coalition negotiations signals, and turnout patterns among swing blocs. A strong debate performance, new endorsement, or clearer separation from competing lists could widen the range, while further erosion in opposition unity would likely compress it toward the lower bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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