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icon for Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles
Política·LA

Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles

icon for Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles
Política·LA

Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles

Polymarket

$13,561,808 Vol.

Polymarket

$13,561,808 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$889,128 Vol.

66%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$1,526,341 Vol.

32%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear edge in the November 3 runoff due to her established citywide support base, particularly in South Los Angeles and Latino-majority neighborhoods, along with greater campaign resources and recent hiring of an experienced national operative. Nithya Raman has consolidated progressive backing, including a Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, and has pressed attacks on homelessness spending accountability through the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority while calling for additional debates. Recent exchanges over LAHSA oversight, congressional scrutiny of federal funds, and Bass’s decision to step down from the agency board have sharpened the contest around management of city services and housing. Trader consensus reflects Bass’s incumbency and organizational advantages heading into the final stretch.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,561,808
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass holds a clear edge in the November 3 runoff due to her established citywide support base, particularly in South Los Angeles and Latino-majority neighborhoods, along with greater campaign resources and recent hiring of an experienced national operative. Nithya Raman has consolidated progressive backing, including a Democratic Socialists of America endorsement, and has pressed attacks on homelessness spending accountability through the Los Angeles Homeless Services Authority while calling for additional debates. Recent exchanges over LAHSA oversight, congressional scrutiny of federal funds, and Bass’s decision to step down from the agency board have sharpened the contest around management of city services and housing. Trader consensus reflects Bass’s incumbency and organizational advantages heading into the final stretch.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volume
$13,561,808
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Karen Bass" at 66%, followed by "Nithya Raman" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" has generated $13.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" is "Karen Bass" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nithya Raman" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para Prefeito de Los Angeles" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.