Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Kevin Hern shifted to the Senate race, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has remained in Republican hands for decades. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. State Representative Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination following a June primary and August runoff, positioning the party to retain the Tulsa-area seat against Democrat John Croisant on November 3. The 90.5% Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOK-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
OK-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
91%
Partido Democrata
9%
$25,122 Vol.
$25,122 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,268 Vol.
91%
Partido Democrata
$11,854 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Kevin Hern shifted to the Senate race, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has remained in Republican hands for decades. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. State Representative Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination following a June primary and August runoff, positioning the party to retain the Tulsa-area seat against Democrat John Croisant on November 3. The 90.5% Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$25,122Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Kevin Hern shifted to the Senate race, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has remained in Republican hands for decades. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. State Representative Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination following a June primary and August runoff, positioning the party to retain the Tulsa-area seat against Democrat John Croisant on November 3. The 90.5% Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,122Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st congressional district, an open seat after incumbent Kevin Hern shifted to the Senate race, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and has remained in Republican hands for decades. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. State Representative Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination following a June primary and August runoff, positioning the party to retain the Tulsa-area seat against Democrat John Croisant on November 3. The 90.5% Republican implied probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages and historical voting patterns. A late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such developments would need to overcome the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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