Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with majority-Black demographics that have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais ruling preserved this district as the state's sole majority-Black seat while shifting others toward Republicans, reinforcing its status as a safe hold. Incumbent Troy Carter faces Democratic primary challengers but minimal Republican opposition ahead of the November 3 jungle primary, with all forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically alter the outcome in the December runoff if no candidate reaches a majority.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
LA-02 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$61,855 Vol.
$61,855 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
96%
Partido Republicano
1%
$61,855 Vol.
$61,855 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$35,428 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$26,426 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with majority-Black demographics that have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais ruling preserved this district as the state's sole majority-Black seat while shifting others toward Republicans, reinforcing its status as a safe hold. Incumbent Troy Carter faces Democratic primary challengers but minimal Republican opposition ahead of the November 3 jungle primary, with all forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically alter the outcome in the December runoff if no candidate reaches a majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$61,855Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with majority-Black demographics that have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais ruling preserved this district as the state's sole majority-Black seat while shifting others toward Republicans, reinforcing its status as a safe hold. Incumbent Troy Carter faces Democratic primary challengers but minimal Republican opposition ahead of the November 3 jungle primary, with all forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically alter the outcome in the December runoff if no candidate reaches a majority.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,855Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17, anchored in New Orleans and surrounding parishes with majority-Black demographics that have consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates. Redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais ruling preserved this district as the state's sole majority-Black seat while shifting others toward Republicans, reinforcing its status as a safe hold. Incumbent Troy Carter faces Democratic primary challengers but minimal Republican opposition ahead of the November 3 jungle primary, with all forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could theoretically alter the outcome in the December runoff if no candidate reaches a majority.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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