The NY-21 seat became open after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection to pursue higher office. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen face off on June 23, while Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell compete in their contest. These dynamics, combined with the district’s rural and upstate composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November. No recent polling or events have meaningfully shifted the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados de NY-21
$24,486 Vol.
$24,486 Vol.
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Democrata
25%
$24,486 Vol.
$24,486 Vol.
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Democrata
25%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-21 seat became open after incumbent Elise Stefanik opted against reelection to pursue higher office. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting its R+10 partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders Anthony Constantino and Robert Smullen face off on June 23, while Democrats Blake Gendebien and Stuart Amoriell compete in their contest. These dynamics, combined with the district’s rural and upstate composition, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in November. No recent polling or events have meaningfully shifted the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions