Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field that included progressive challengers and featured significant outside spending. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, sits in a heavily Democratic district encompassing Chicago's North Side and northern suburbs, consistently rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters and last won by a Republican in 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his party's primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's partisan composition and Biss's endorsements from figures such as Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or national political realignments before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-09 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IL-09 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
$17,371 Vol.
95%
John Elleson (R)
$14,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field that included progressive challengers and featured significant outside spending. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, sits in a heavily Democratic district encompassing Chicago's North Side and northern suburbs, consistently rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters and last won by a Republican in 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his party's primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's partisan composition and Biss's endorsements from figures such as Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or national political realignments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,625Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field that included progressive challengers and featured significant outside spending. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, sits in a heavily Democratic district encompassing Chicago's North Side and northern suburbs, consistently rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters and last won by a Republican in 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his party's primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's partisan composition and Biss's endorsements from figures such as Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or national political realignments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,625Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field that included progressive challengers and featured significant outside spending. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, sits in a heavily Democratic district encompassing Chicago's North Side and northern suburbs, consistently rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters and last won by a Republican in 1947. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his party's primary, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's partisan composition and Biss's endorsements from figures such as Senators Tammy Duckworth and Elizabeth Warren. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or national political realignments before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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