The opposition bloc led by the Social Democrats holds a confirmed three-seat majority in the Riksdag following the September 13 election, with final tallies showing 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties after nearly all ballots were counted. Late advance and overseas votes narrowed but did not erase the margin during the supplementary count, prompting SVT to state that the governing bloc has no realistic path to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown a tightening race, yet the opposition maintained its edge in the decisive final stages. With resolution approaching, only an unprecedented adjustment in remaining districts or compensatory seat allocation could alter the seat distribution, though such shifts remain statistically improbable given the current vote totals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOposição por 3–4 96.7%
Oposição por 1–2 1.5%
Tidö por 1–2 <1%
Oposição por 5–6 <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
Oposição por 7+
<1%
Oposição por 5–6
<1%
Oposição por 3–4
97%
Oposição por 1–2
1%
Tidö por 1–2
1%
Tidö por 3–4
<1%
Tidö por 5+
<1%
Oposição por 3–4 96.7%
Oposição por 1–2 1.5%
Tidö por 1–2 <1%
Oposição por 5–6 <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
Oposição por 7+
$710 Vol.
<1%
Oposição por 5–6
$205 Vol.
<1%
Oposição por 3–4
$2,359 Vol.
97%
Oposição por 1–2
$1,807 Vol.
1%
Tidö por 1–2
$838 Vol.
1%
Tidö por 3–4
$426 Vol.
<1%
Tidö por 5+
$29 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The opposition bloc led by the Social Democrats holds a confirmed three-seat majority in the Riksdag following the September 13 election, with final tallies showing 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties after nearly all ballots were counted. Late advance and overseas votes narrowed but did not erase the margin during the supplementary count, prompting SVT to state that the governing bloc has no realistic path to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown a tightening race, yet the opposition maintained its edge in the decisive final stages. With resolution approaching, only an unprecedented adjustment in remaining districts or compensatory seat allocation could alter the seat distribution, though such shifts remain statistically improbable given the current vote totals.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ET
Volume
$6,374Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The opposition bloc led by the Social Democrats holds a confirmed three-seat majority in the Riksdag following the September 13 election, with final tallies showing 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties after nearly all ballots were counted. Late advance and overseas votes narrowed but did not erase the margin during the supplementary count, prompting SVT to state that the governing bloc has no realistic path to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown a tightening race, yet the opposition maintained its edge in the decisive final stages. With resolution approaching, only an unprecedented adjustment in remaining districts or compensatory seat allocation could alter the seat distribution, though such shifts remain statistically improbable given the current vote totals.
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats won in the Riksdag between the Tidö parties and the opposition parties in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election.
For the purposes of this market, the “Tidö parties” are the four signatories of the Tidö Agreement (Tidöavtalet): the Sweden Democrats (SD), the Moderate Party (M), the Christian Democrats (KD), and the Liberals (L).
For the purposes of this market, the “opposition parties” are the Social Democrats (S), the Left Party (V), the Green Party (MP), and the Centre Party (C).
Seats will be counted only where the final results attribute them to one of the eight named parties. Seats won by any party other than the eight named above will count toward neither group, regardless of any subsequent cooperation, endorsement, confidence agreement, or parliamentary-group arrangement.
If the Tidö parties and the opposition parties win an equal number of seats, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the final results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the final results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$6,374Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The opposition bloc led by the Social Democrats holds a confirmed three-seat majority in the Riksdag following the September 13 election, with final tallies showing 176 seats against 173 for the Tidö parties after nearly all ballots were counted. Late advance and overseas votes narrowed but did not erase the margin during the supplementary count, prompting SVT to state that the governing bloc has no realistic path to reverse the outcome. Pre-election polling had shown a tightening race, yet the opposition maintained its edge in the decisive final stages. With resolution approaching, only an unprecedented adjustment in remaining districts or compensatory seat allocation could alter the seat distribution, though such shifts remain statistically improbable given the current vote totals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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