Incumbent Republican Susan Collins seeks a sixth term in Maine’s 2026 Senate contest against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination after the June 9 primary following Governor Janet Mills’ withdrawal. Recent polls, including averages showing Platner ahead by roughly five to seven points, reflect the state’s Democratic lean in the 2024 presidential election and position the challenger with an edge in a race rated toss-up by most forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities incorporates these head-to-head surveys, historical midterm dynamics for the minority party, and Maine’s mix of independent voters who have backed Collins in past cycles but now show movement toward the Democratic side. Upcoming general election developments, including turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment, remain key variables that could influence the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Maine
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Maine
$448,724 Vol.
$448,724 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
63%
Republicano
38%
$448,724 Vol.
$448,724 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$263,731 Vol.
63%
Republicano
$185,005 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Susan Collins seeks a sixth term in Maine’s 2026 Senate contest against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination after the June 9 primary following Governor Janet Mills’ withdrawal. Recent polls, including averages showing Platner ahead by roughly five to seven points, reflect the state’s Democratic lean in the 2024 presidential election and position the challenger with an edge in a race rated toss-up by most forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities incorporates these head-to-head surveys, historical midterm dynamics for the minority party, and Maine’s mix of independent voters who have backed Collins in past cycles but now show movement toward the Democratic side. Upcoming general election developments, including turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment, remain key variables that could influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$448,724Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Susan Collins seeks a sixth term in Maine’s 2026 Senate contest against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination after the June 9 primary following Governor Janet Mills’ withdrawal. Recent polls, including averages showing Platner ahead by roughly five to seven points, reflect the state’s Democratic lean in the 2024 presidential election and position the challenger with an edge in a race rated toss-up by most forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities incorporates these head-to-head surveys, historical midterm dynamics for the minority party, and Maine’s mix of independent voters who have backed Collins in past cycles but now show movement toward the Democratic side. Upcoming general election developments, including turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment, remain key variables that could influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$448,724Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Susan Collins seeks a sixth term in Maine’s 2026 Senate contest against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, who secured the nomination after the June 9 primary following Governor Janet Mills’ withdrawal. Recent polls, including averages showing Platner ahead by roughly five to seven points, reflect the state’s Democratic lean in the 2024 presidential election and position the challenger with an edge in a race rated toss-up by most forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities incorporates these head-to-head surveys, historical midterm dynamics for the minority party, and Maine’s mix of independent voters who have backed Collins in past cycles but now show movement toward the Democratic side. Upcoming general election developments, including turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment, remain key variables that could influence the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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