Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by under one percentage point in the August 4 primary, following state Sen. Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. The contest, which drew heavy outside spending, positioned the progressive former health official against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent September polling aggregates show El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of roughly two points among likely voters in this battleground state, with results falling within margins of error across multiple surveys. Forecasters classify the race as a tossup or lean Democratic, reflecting Michigan’s recent partisan shifts and the absence of an incumbent. These factors underpin trader assessments of the candidates’ relative positioning heading into November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
$800,150 Vol.
$800,150 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
40%
$800,150 Vol.
$800,150 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$455,617 Vol.
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
$344,533 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by under one percentage point in the August 4 primary, following state Sen. Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. The contest, which drew heavy outside spending, positioned the progressive former health official against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent September polling aggregates show El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of roughly two points among likely voters in this battleground state, with results falling within margins of error across multiple surveys. Forecasters classify the race as a tossup or lean Democratic, reflecting Michigan’s recent partisan shifts and the absence of an incumbent. These factors underpin trader assessments of the candidates’ relative positioning heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$800,150Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by under one percentage point in the August 4 primary, following state Sen. Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. The contest, which drew heavy outside spending, positioned the progressive former health official against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent September polling aggregates show El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of roughly two points among likely voters in this battleground state, with results falling within margins of error across multiple surveys. Forecasters classify the race as a tossup or lean Democratic, reflecting Michigan’s recent partisan shifts and the absence of an incumbent. These factors underpin trader assessments of the candidates’ relative positioning heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$800,150Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s open Senate race after defeating Rep. Haley Stevens by under one percentage point in the August 4 primary, following state Sen. Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. The contest, which drew heavy outside spending, positioned the progressive former health official against former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate. Recent September polling aggregates show El-Sayed holding a narrow lead of roughly two points among likely voters in this battleground state, with results falling within margins of error across multiple surveys. Forecasters classify the race as a tossup or lean Democratic, reflecting Michigan’s recent partisan shifts and the absence of an incumbent. These factors underpin trader assessments of the candidates’ relative positioning heading into November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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