The open Michigan Senate seat, following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general-election environment that traders currently price as favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, faces a Democratic primary field led by former health official Abdul El-Sayed, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Rep. Haley Stevens; recent head-to-head polling shows each Democrat leading Rogers by margins ranging from one to seven points. Factors supporting the Democratic edge include Michigan’s recent voting patterns in federal contests, the party’s organizational infrastructure in a state with a Democratic governor, and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Republicans. The August 4 primary remains the next major catalyst that could further clarify nominee strength and shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
$117,177 Vol.
$117,177 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
70%
Republicano
28%
$117,177 Vol.
$117,177 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$83,216 Vol.
70%
Republicano
$33,961 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general-election environment that traders currently price as favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, faces a Democratic primary field led by former health official Abdul El-Sayed, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Rep. Haley Stevens; recent head-to-head polling shows each Democrat leading Rogers by margins ranging from one to seven points. Factors supporting the Democratic edge include Michigan’s recent voting patterns in federal contests, the party’s organizational infrastructure in a state with a Democratic governor, and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Republicans. The August 4 primary remains the next major catalyst that could further clarify nominee strength and shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$117,177Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general-election environment that traders currently price as favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, faces a Democratic primary field led by former health official Abdul El-Sayed, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Rep. Haley Stevens; recent head-to-head polling shows each Democrat leading Rogers by margins ranging from one to seven points. Factors supporting the Democratic edge include Michigan’s recent voting patterns in federal contests, the party’s organizational infrastructure in a state with a Democratic governor, and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Republicans. The August 4 primary remains the next major catalyst that could further clarify nominee strength and shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$117,177Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement announcement, has produced a competitive general-election environment that traders currently price as favoring the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, faces a Democratic primary field led by former health official Abdul El-Sayed, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Rep. Haley Stevens; recent head-to-head polling shows each Democrat leading Rogers by margins ranging from one to seven points. Factors supporting the Democratic edge include Michigan’s recent voting patterns in federal contests, the party’s organizational infrastructure in a state with a Democratic governor, and the absence of an incumbent advantage for Republicans. The August 4 primary remains the next major catalyst that could further clarify nominee strength and shift implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions