Recent polling for Michigan's open Senate seat shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a slim edge over Republican Mike Rogers in aggregates from early September, typically 46-47% to 44-45%. El-Sayed secured the nomination in a narrow August 4 primary win over U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support in this battleground state formerly held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up amid Michigan's divided electorate and history of tight margins. Trader consensus favoring El-Sayed at higher implied probability reflects his post-primary polling stability and performance among younger voters, though the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in key demographics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
$800,150 Vol.
$800,150 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
40%
$800,150 Vol.
$800,150 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$455,617 Vol.
62%
Mike Rogers (R)
$344,533 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling for Michigan's open Senate seat shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a slim edge over Republican Mike Rogers in aggregates from early September, typically 46-47% to 44-45%. El-Sayed secured the nomination in a narrow August 4 primary win over U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support in this battleground state formerly held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up amid Michigan's divided electorate and history of tight margins. Trader consensus favoring El-Sayed at higher implied probability reflects his post-primary polling stability and performance among younger voters, though the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in key demographics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$800,150Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling for Michigan's open Senate seat shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a slim edge over Republican Mike Rogers in aggregates from early September, typically 46-47% to 44-45%. El-Sayed secured the nomination in a narrow August 4 primary win over U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support in this battleground state formerly held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up amid Michigan's divided electorate and history of tight margins. Trader consensus favoring El-Sayed at higher implied probability reflects his post-primary polling stability and performance among younger voters, though the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in key demographics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$800,150Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling for Michigan's open Senate seat shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed maintaining a slim edge over Republican Mike Rogers in aggregates from early September, typically 46-47% to 44-45%. El-Sayed secured the nomination in a narrow August 4 primary win over U.S. Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support in this battleground state formerly held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters. Forecasters rate the general election a toss-up amid Michigan's divided electorate and history of tight margins. Trader consensus favoring El-Sayed at higher implied probability reflects his post-primary polling stability and performance among younger voters, though the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns and late-cycle shifts in key demographics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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