The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement has produced a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, where Abdul El-Sayed leads recent polls over Haley Stevens following Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers is the presumptive nominee after his narrow 2024 loss in the same state. Michigan’s narrow presidential margins in recent cycles and its status as a battleground have kept the general election race in focus, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a clear edge over Rogers. Recent primary polling and establishment endorsements, including Peters backing Stevens, have reinforced expectations that the Democratic nominee will enter the November 2026 general election as the stronger position in this swing-state contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Michigan
$145,211 Vol.
$145,211 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
67%
Republicano
33%
$145,211 Vol.
$145,211 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democrata
$96,833 Vol.
67%
Republicano
$48,378 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement has produced a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, where Abdul El-Sayed leads recent polls over Haley Stevens following Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers is the presumptive nominee after his narrow 2024 loss in the same state. Michigan’s narrow presidential margins in recent cycles and its status as a battleground have kept the general election race in focus, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a clear edge over Rogers. Recent primary polling and establishment endorsements, including Peters backing Stevens, have reinforced expectations that the Democratic nominee will enter the November 2026 general election as the stronger position in this swing-state contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$145,211Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement has produced a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, where Abdul El-Sayed leads recent polls over Haley Stevens following Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers is the presumptive nominee after his narrow 2024 loss in the same state. Michigan’s narrow presidential margins in recent cycles and its status as a battleground have kept the general election race in focus, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a clear edge over Rogers. Recent primary polling and establishment endorsements, including Peters backing Stevens, have reinforced expectations that the Democratic nominee will enter the November 2026 general election as the stronger position in this swing-state contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$145,211Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democratic incumbent Gary Peters’ January 2025 retirement has produced a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, where Abdul El-Sayed leads recent polls over Haley Stevens following Mallory McMorrow’s July withdrawal. On the Republican side, former Representative Mike Rogers is the presumptive nominee after his narrow 2024 loss in the same state. Michigan’s narrow presidential margins in recent cycles and its status as a battleground have kept the general election race in focus, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a clear edge over Rogers. Recent primary polling and establishment endorsements, including Peters backing Stevens, have reinforced expectations that the Democratic nominee will enter the November 2026 general election as the stronger position in this swing-state contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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