Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
IL-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$31,630 Vol.
$31,630 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$31,630 Vol.
$31,630 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$11,925 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$19,705 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,630Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,630Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured the party nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois’s 6th congressional district. The southwest Chicago suburbs district has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and Casten’s 2024 reelection margin plus consistent ratings as a Solid or Safe Democratic seat by multiple forecasters underpin the current trader consensus. Stronger fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of competitive general-election polling further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the suburban electorate represent the primary factors that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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